Novelty, variability, and resilience: Exploring adaptive cycles in a marine ecosystem under pressure.

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Autori principali: Ammar, Yosr, Puntila-Dodd, Riikka, Tomczak, Maciej T, Nyström, Magnus, Blenckner, Thorsten
Natura: Artículo científico
Lingua:en
Pubblicazione: Ambio 2025
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author Ammar, Yosr
Puntila-Dodd, Riikka
Tomczak, Maciej T
Nyström, Magnus
Blenckner, Thorsten
author_facet Ammar, Yosr
Puntila-Dodd, Riikka
Tomczak, Maciej T
Nyström, Magnus
Blenckner, Thorsten
Ammar, Yosr
Puntila-Dodd, Riikka
Tomczak, Maciej T
Nyström, Magnus
Blenckner, Thorsten
collection PubMed - marine biology
contents Novelty, variability, and resilience: Exploring adaptive cycles in a marine ecosystem under pressure. Ammar, Yosr Puntila-Dodd, Riikka Tomczak, Maciej T Nyström, Magnus Blenckner, Thorsten Ecosystem Climate Change Finland Oceans and Seas Animals Biomass Aquatic Organisms Marine ecosystems are increasingly reshaped by climate change and human activities, resulting in novelty in species assemblages that have shifted beyond historical baselines. One unresolved question is how novelty influences resilience. Here, we examine how novelty arises in ecosystems when they transition through phases and affects resilience using the adaptive cycle framework. We use results from an ecosystem model of the Finnish Archipelago Sea (Baltic Sea) under contrasting climate, nutrient load and fishing scenarios. We quantify novelty in species composition and biomass and use ecological network analysis indices to identify adaptive cycle phases and resilience. Results suggest resilience decreases with higher novelty under warmer climate scenarios. Low nutrient load scenarios facilitate faster adaptive cycles and greater resilience than high nutrient load scenarios under the same climate conditions. Connecting network indices to the adaptive cycle helps to understand how the growing human-induced novelty influences resilience, supporting core resilience theory.
format Artículo científico
id pubmed_40261512
institution PubMed
language en
publishDate 2025
publisher Ambio
record_format pubmed
spellingShingle Novelty, variability, and resilience: Exploring adaptive cycles in a marine ecosystem under pressure.
Ammar, Yosr
Puntila-Dodd, Riikka
Tomczak, Maciej T
Nyström, Magnus
Blenckner, Thorsten
Ecosystem
Climate Change
Finland
Oceans and Seas
Animals
Biomass
Aquatic Organisms
Novelty, variability, and resilience: Exploring adaptive cycles in a marine ecosystem under pressure. Ammar, Yosr Puntila-Dodd, Riikka Tomczak, Maciej T Nyström, Magnus Blenckner, Thorsten Ecosystem Climate Change Finland Oceans and Seas Animals Biomass Aquatic Organisms Marine ecosystems are increasingly reshaped by climate change and human activities, resulting in novelty in species assemblages that have shifted beyond historical baselines. One unresolved question is how novelty influences resilience. Here, we examine how novelty arises in ecosystems when they transition through phases and affects resilience using the adaptive cycle framework. We use results from an ecosystem model of the Finnish Archipelago Sea (Baltic Sea) under contrasting climate, nutrient load and fishing scenarios. We quantify novelty in species composition and biomass and use ecological network analysis indices to identify adaptive cycle phases and resilience. Results suggest resilience decreases with higher novelty under warmer climate scenarios. Low nutrient load scenarios facilitate faster adaptive cycles and greater resilience than high nutrient load scenarios under the same climate conditions. Connecting network indices to the adaptive cycle helps to understand how the growing human-induced novelty influences resilience, supporting core resilience theory.
title Novelty, variability, and resilience: Exploring adaptive cycles in a marine ecosystem under pressure.
topic Ecosystem
Climate Change
Finland
Oceans and Seas
Animals
Biomass
Aquatic Organisms
url https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40261512/