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| Main Authors: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Artículo científico |
| Language: | en |
| Published: |
The Science of the total environment
2025
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| Online Access: | https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40349560/ |
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Table of Contents:
- Modeling the impacts of climate change on epifauna distribution in the southern Yellow Sea and East China Sea. Zhang, Yue Xu, Yong Li, Xinzheng To evaluate the potential impact of climate change on the distributions of eight epifaunal species in the southern Yellow Sea and the East China Sea, species distribution models were established using species data collected from bottom trawling surveys and marine environment data connected with the Sixth Phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. The modeling results revealed that temperature and depth were the most important environmental factors in shaping the distribution patterns of epifauna. The coastal waters of China between 32°N and 34°N are projected to become a key region where climate change will significantly influence the distribution of epifaunal species under future scenarios. Under future climate scenarios, the distributions of Alpheus digitalis, Alpheus japonicus, Amblychaeturichthys hexanema and Solenocera crassicornis are projected to expand northward, crossing the 32°N ecological barrier zone. Even if the targets of the Paris Agreement are achieved, the potential distributions of epifauna will undergo substantial changes. These findings indicated that the ecological barrier is a multi-dimensional environmental space defined by various marine environmental factors, and future climate change may further diminish its effect.