The future of baleen whales: Recoveries, environmental constraints, and climate change.

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Main Authors: Stewart, Joshua D, Tinker, M Tim, Brownell, Robert L, Read, Andrew J
Format: Artículo científico
Language:en
Published: Science advances 2025
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author Stewart, Joshua D
Tinker, M Tim
Brownell, Robert L
Read, Andrew J
author_facet Stewart, Joshua D
Tinker, M Tim
Brownell, Robert L
Read, Andrew J
Stewart, Joshua D
Tinker, M Tim
Brownell, Robert L
Read, Andrew J
collection PubMed - marine biology
contents The future of baleen whales: Recoveries, environmental constraints, and climate change. Stewart, Joshua D Tinker, M Tim Brownell, Robert L Read, Andrew J Animals Climate Change Whales Population Dynamics Ecosystem Conservation of Natural Resources Environment Most baleen whales were severely overexploited during the past century, but many populations have received near-complete protection from exploitation for more than a half-century. Some of these populations have made remarkable recoveries and are now approaching pre-exploitation levels of abundance. Contrary to expectations of baleen whales making minor oscillations around equilibrium abundances, several populations that have made the strongest recoveries have experienced major mortality events. We review examples from the literature showing increasing demographic variability in recovering populations of baleen whales and present a simulation study on the expected response of recovered versus depleted whale population to environmental variability and climate impacts. We propose that baleen whales are more sensitive to environmental variability than previously recognized; that major demographic fluctuations will become the norm as baleen whales recover; and that climate-driven disruptions to whale population dynamics will be most dramatic in populations with the lowest rates of anthropogenic mortality.
format Artículo científico
id pubmed_40561014
institution PubMed
language en
publishDate 2025
publisher Science advances
record_format pubmed
spellingShingle The future of baleen whales: Recoveries, environmental constraints, and climate change.
Stewart, Joshua D
Tinker, M Tim
Brownell, Robert L
Read, Andrew J
Animals
Climate Change
Whales
Population Dynamics
Ecosystem
Conservation of Natural Resources
Environment
The future of baleen whales: Recoveries, environmental constraints, and climate change. Stewart, Joshua D Tinker, M Tim Brownell, Robert L Read, Andrew J Animals Climate Change Whales Population Dynamics Ecosystem Conservation of Natural Resources Environment Most baleen whales were severely overexploited during the past century, but many populations have received near-complete protection from exploitation for more than a half-century. Some of these populations have made remarkable recoveries and are now approaching pre-exploitation levels of abundance. Contrary to expectations of baleen whales making minor oscillations around equilibrium abundances, several populations that have made the strongest recoveries have experienced major mortality events. We review examples from the literature showing increasing demographic variability in recovering populations of baleen whales and present a simulation study on the expected response of recovered versus depleted whale population to environmental variability and climate impacts. We propose that baleen whales are more sensitive to environmental variability than previously recognized; that major demographic fluctuations will become the norm as baleen whales recover; and that climate-driven disruptions to whale population dynamics will be most dramatic in populations with the lowest rates of anthropogenic mortality.
title The future of baleen whales: Recoveries, environmental constraints, and climate change.
topic Animals
Climate Change
Whales
Population Dynamics
Ecosystem
Conservation of Natural Resources
Environment
url https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40561014/