Development of a multiple linear regression model for chronic nickel toxicity to Ceriodaphnia dubia: performance of bicarbonate vs. pH as toxicity modifying factors.

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Hauptverfasser: Van Geest, Jordana L, Daley, Jennifer M, Elphick, James R, Gallant, Melanie, Brix, Kevin V, Manklow, Nick A, Arnold, Mariah C, Digel, Mark, de Bruyn, Adrian M H
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Veröffentlicht: Environmental toxicology and chemistry 2025
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author Van Geest, Jordana L
Daley, Jennifer M
Elphick, James R
Gallant, Melanie
Brix, Kevin V
Manklow, Nick A
Arnold, Mariah C
Digel, Mark
de Bruyn, Adrian M H
author_facet Van Geest, Jordana L
Daley, Jennifer M
Elphick, James R
Gallant, Melanie
Brix, Kevin V
Manklow, Nick A
Arnold, Mariah C
Digel, Mark
de Bruyn, Adrian M H
Van Geest, Jordana L
Daley, Jennifer M
Elphick, James R
Gallant, Melanie
Brix, Kevin V
Manklow, Nick A
Arnold, Mariah C
Digel, Mark
de Bruyn, Adrian M H
collection PubMed - marine biology
contents Development of a multiple linear regression model for chronic nickel toxicity to Ceriodaphnia dubia: performance of bicarbonate vs. pH as toxicity modifying factors. Van Geest, Jordana L Daley, Jennifer M Elphick, James R Gallant, Melanie Brix, Kevin V Manklow, Nick A Arnold, Mariah C Digel, Mark de Bruyn, Adrian M H Linear Models Toxicity Tests, Chronic Nickel Ceriodaphnia dubia Bicarbonates Hydrogen-Ion Concentration Animals Water Pollutants, Chemical British Columbia Mining Environmental Monitoring Water Pollution, Chemical Multiple linear regression models were developed to predict chronic nickel (Ni) toxicity to Ceriodaphnia dubia under an expanded range of conditions relative to published datasets. Test conditions were expanded to study Ni toxicity under very high hardness (up to 1,020 mg/L as CaCO3) and bicarbonate (up to 366 mg/L HCO3) by conducting tests in synthetic waters and mine-influenced site waters. Toxicity modifying factors (TMFs) identified by the models were hardness, dissolved organic carbon, and either pH or bicarbonate. Because high pH and high bicarbonate co-occur in some mine-influenced waters and their relative importance as TMFs for Ni is unclear, we compared the performance of models with each candidate TMF. The model with bicarbonate performed better than the model with pH and showed closer alignment between site-specific and published datasets, supporting bicarbonate as a TMF in both datasets. The model with bicarbonate performed well across the expanded range of conditions and is expected to be more robust than previous Ni models under the high hardness and bicarbonate conditions studied. Comparison of TMF effects on Ni toxicity to other invertebrates indicated stronger support for a bicarbonate TMF effect than pH for some species, including C. dubia. Further support came from site-specific testing that indicated bicarbonate is not toxic to C. dubia at the concentrations in our dataset. These findings suggest bicarbonate may play an important role in modifying chronic Ni toxicity to C. dubia in alkaline waters. More work is needed to understand the mechanism for bicarbonate and pH TMF effects and why TMF effects are species-specific to reduce uncertainties associated with collinearity in model datasets and in applying models across species.
format Artículo científico
id pubmed_40794855
institution PubMed
language en
publishDate 2025
publisher Environmental toxicology and chemistry
record_format pubmed
spellingShingle Development of a multiple linear regression model for chronic nickel toxicity to Ceriodaphnia dubia: performance of bicarbonate vs. pH as toxicity modifying factors.
Van Geest, Jordana L
Daley, Jennifer M
Elphick, James R
Gallant, Melanie
Brix, Kevin V
Manklow, Nick A
Arnold, Mariah C
Digel, Mark
de Bruyn, Adrian M H
Linear Models
Toxicity Tests, Chronic
Nickel
Ceriodaphnia dubia
Bicarbonates
Hydrogen-Ion Concentration
Animals
Water Pollutants, Chemical
British Columbia
Mining
Environmental Monitoring
Water Pollution, Chemical
Development of a multiple linear regression model for chronic nickel toxicity to Ceriodaphnia dubia: performance of bicarbonate vs. pH as toxicity modifying factors. Van Geest, Jordana L Daley, Jennifer M Elphick, James R Gallant, Melanie Brix, Kevin V Manklow, Nick A Arnold, Mariah C Digel, Mark de Bruyn, Adrian M H Linear Models Toxicity Tests, Chronic Nickel Ceriodaphnia dubia Bicarbonates Hydrogen-Ion Concentration Animals Water Pollutants, Chemical British Columbia Mining Environmental Monitoring Water Pollution, Chemical Multiple linear regression models were developed to predict chronic nickel (Ni) toxicity to Ceriodaphnia dubia under an expanded range of conditions relative to published datasets. Test conditions were expanded to study Ni toxicity under very high hardness (up to 1,020 mg/L as CaCO3) and bicarbonate (up to 366 mg/L HCO3) by conducting tests in synthetic waters and mine-influenced site waters. Toxicity modifying factors (TMFs) identified by the models were hardness, dissolved organic carbon, and either pH or bicarbonate. Because high pH and high bicarbonate co-occur in some mine-influenced waters and their relative importance as TMFs for Ni is unclear, we compared the performance of models with each candidate TMF. The model with bicarbonate performed better than the model with pH and showed closer alignment between site-specific and published datasets, supporting bicarbonate as a TMF in both datasets. The model with bicarbonate performed well across the expanded range of conditions and is expected to be more robust than previous Ni models under the high hardness and bicarbonate conditions studied. Comparison of TMF effects on Ni toxicity to other invertebrates indicated stronger support for a bicarbonate TMF effect than pH for some species, including C. dubia. Further support came from site-specific testing that indicated bicarbonate is not toxic to C. dubia at the concentrations in our dataset. These findings suggest bicarbonate may play an important role in modifying chronic Ni toxicity to C. dubia in alkaline waters. More work is needed to understand the mechanism for bicarbonate and pH TMF effects and why TMF effects are species-specific to reduce uncertainties associated with collinearity in model datasets and in applying models across species.
title Development of a multiple linear regression model for chronic nickel toxicity to Ceriodaphnia dubia: performance of bicarbonate vs. pH as toxicity modifying factors.
topic Linear Models
Toxicity Tests, Chronic
Nickel
Ceriodaphnia dubia
Bicarbonates
Hydrogen-Ion Concentration
Animals
Water Pollutants, Chemical
British Columbia
Mining
Environmental Monitoring
Water Pollution, Chemical
url https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40794855/