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Hauptverfasser: Radchuk, Viktoriia, Jones, Carys V, McLean, Nina, Charmantier, Anne, Teplitsky, Céline, Alisauskas, Ray, Ancona, Sergio, Anker-Nilssen, Tycho, Arcese, Peter, Arlt, Debora, Aubry, Lise M, Bailey, Liam, Barbraud, Christophe, Berg, Karl S, Berteaux, Dominique, Blumstein, Daniel T, Bouwhuis, Sandra, Brose, Ulrich, Brouwer, Lyanne, Catry, Paulo, Chero, Guillaume, Chiaradia, Andre, Courtiol, Alexandre, Daunt, Francis, Delord, Karine, Dobson, F Stephen, Drummond, Hugh, Eeva, Tapio, Fauteux, Dominique, Gauthier, Gilles, Genovart, Meritxell, Granadeiro, José P, Hentati-Sundberg, Jonas, Harris, Michael, Igual, José Manuel, Janzen, Fredric, Keogan, Katharine, Korpimäki, Erkki, Kramer-Schadt, Stephanie, Kruuk, Loeske E B, Lewis, Sue, Mallory, Mark, Martin, Julien, Massot, Manuel, Matthysen, Erik, Mihoub, Jean-Baptiste, Møller, Anders Pape, Nater, Chloé R, Newell, Mark, Oppel, Steffen, Oro, Daniel, Ortega, Santiago, Parejo, Deseada, Pärt, Tomas, Payo-Payo, Ana, Pemberton, Josephine, Phillips, Richard A, Pillay, Neville, Avilés, Jesús M, Rödel, Heiko G, Sanz-Aguilar, Ana, Saraux, Claire, Schielzeth, Holger, Schradin, Carsten, Schroeder, Julia, Sheldon, Ben C, Tavecchia, Giacomo, Tarwater, Corey E, Veiberg, Vebjørn, Viblanc, Vincent A, von Holst, Dietrich, Vriend, Stefan J G, Wanless, Sarah, Wheelwright, Nathaniel, Wood, Andrew G, Sæther, Bernt-Erik, Jenouvrier, Stephanie, Clobert, Jean, Beissinger, Steven R, Visser, Marcel E, Reed, Thomas E, van de Pol, Martijn
Format: Artículo científico
Sprache:en
Veröffentlicht: Nature communications 2026
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Online-Zugang:https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41526389/
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author Radchuk, Viktoriia
Jones, Carys V
McLean, Nina
Charmantier, Anne
Teplitsky, Céline
Alisauskas, Ray
Ancona, Sergio
Anker-Nilssen, Tycho
Arcese, Peter
Arlt, Debora
Aubry, Lise M
Bailey, Liam
Barbraud, Christophe
Berg, Karl S
Berteaux, Dominique
Blumstein, Daniel T
Bouwhuis, Sandra
Brose, Ulrich
Brouwer, Lyanne
Catry, Paulo
Chero, Guillaume
Chiaradia, Andre
Courtiol, Alexandre
Daunt, Francis
Delord, Karine
Dobson, F Stephen
Drummond, Hugh
Eeva, Tapio
Fauteux, Dominique
Gauthier, Gilles
Genovart, Meritxell
Granadeiro, José P
Hentati-Sundberg, Jonas
Harris, Michael
Igual, José Manuel
Janzen, Fredric
Keogan, Katharine
Korpimäki, Erkki
Kramer-Schadt, Stephanie
Kruuk, Loeske E B
Lewis, Sue
Mallory, Mark
Martin, Julien
Massot, Manuel
Matthysen, Erik
Mihoub, Jean-Baptiste
Møller, Anders Pape
Nater, Chloé R
Newell, Mark
Oppel, Steffen
Oro, Daniel
Ortega, Santiago
Parejo, Deseada
Pärt, Tomas
Payo-Payo, Ana
Pemberton, Josephine
Phillips, Richard A
Pillay, Neville
Avilés, Jesús M
Rödel, Heiko G
Sanz-Aguilar, Ana
Saraux, Claire
Schielzeth, Holger
Schradin, Carsten
Schroeder, Julia
Sheldon, Ben C
Tavecchia, Giacomo
Tarwater, Corey E
Veiberg, Vebjørn
Viblanc, Vincent A
von Holst, Dietrich
Vriend, Stefan J G
Wanless, Sarah
Wheelwright, Nathaniel
Wood, Andrew G
Sæther, Bernt-Erik
Jenouvrier, Stephanie
Clobert, Jean
Beissinger, Steven R
Visser, Marcel E
Reed, Thomas E
van de Pol, Martijn
author_facet Radchuk, Viktoriia
Jones, Carys V
McLean, Nina
Charmantier, Anne
Teplitsky, Céline
Alisauskas, Ray
Ancona, Sergio
Anker-Nilssen, Tycho
Arcese, Peter
Arlt, Debora
Aubry, Lise M
Bailey, Liam
Barbraud, Christophe
Berg, Karl S
Berteaux, Dominique
Blumstein, Daniel T
Bouwhuis, Sandra
Brose, Ulrich
Brouwer, Lyanne
Catry, Paulo
Chero, Guillaume
Chiaradia, Andre
Courtiol, Alexandre
Daunt, Francis
Delord, Karine
Dobson, F Stephen
Drummond, Hugh
Eeva, Tapio
Fauteux, Dominique
Gauthier, Gilles
Genovart, Meritxell
Granadeiro, José P
Hentati-Sundberg, Jonas
Harris, Michael
Igual, José Manuel
Janzen, Fredric
Keogan, Katharine
Korpimäki, Erkki
Kramer-Schadt, Stephanie
Kruuk, Loeske E B
Lewis, Sue
Mallory, Mark
Martin, Julien
Massot, Manuel
Matthysen, Erik
Mihoub, Jean-Baptiste
Møller, Anders Pape
Nater, Chloé R
Newell, Mark
Oppel, Steffen
Oro, Daniel
Ortega, Santiago
Parejo, Deseada
Pärt, Tomas
Payo-Payo, Ana
Pemberton, Josephine
Phillips, Richard A
Pillay, Neville
Avilés, Jesús M
Rödel, Heiko G
Sanz-Aguilar, Ana
Saraux, Claire
Schielzeth, Holger
Schradin, Carsten
Schroeder, Julia
Sheldon, Ben C
Tavecchia, Giacomo
Tarwater, Corey E
Veiberg, Vebjørn
Viblanc, Vincent A
von Holst, Dietrich
Vriend, Stefan J G
Wanless, Sarah
Wheelwright, Nathaniel
Wood, Andrew G
Sæther, Bernt-Erik
Jenouvrier, Stephanie
Clobert, Jean
Beissinger, Steven R
Visser, Marcel E
Reed, Thomas E
van de Pol, Martijn
Radchuk, Viktoriia
Jones, Carys V
McLean, Nina
Charmantier, Anne
Teplitsky, Céline
Alisauskas, Ray
Ancona, Sergio
Anker-Nilssen, Tycho
Arcese, Peter
Arlt, Debora
Aubry, Lise M
Bailey, Liam
Barbraud, Christophe
Berg, Karl S
Berteaux, Dominique
Blumstein, Daniel T
Bouwhuis, Sandra
Brose, Ulrich
Brouwer, Lyanne
Catry, Paulo
Chero, Guillaume
Chiaradia, Andre
Courtiol, Alexandre
Daunt, Francis
Delord, Karine
Dobson, F Stephen
Drummond, Hugh
Eeva, Tapio
Fauteux, Dominique
Gauthier, Gilles
Genovart, Meritxell
Granadeiro, José P
Hentati-Sundberg, Jonas
Harris, Michael
Igual, José Manuel
Janzen, Fredric
Keogan, Katharine
Korpimäki, Erkki
Kramer-Schadt, Stephanie
Kruuk, Loeske E B
Lewis, Sue
Mallory, Mark
Martin, Julien
Massot, Manuel
Matthysen, Erik
Mihoub, Jean-Baptiste
Møller, Anders Pape
Nater, Chloé R
Newell, Mark
Oppel, Steffen
Oro, Daniel
Ortega, Santiago
Parejo, Deseada
Pärt, Tomas
Payo-Payo, Ana
Pemberton, Josephine
Phillips, Richard A
Pillay, Neville
Avilés, Jesús M
Rödel, Heiko G
Sanz-Aguilar, Ana
Saraux, Claire
Schielzeth, Holger
Schradin, Carsten
Schroeder, Julia
Sheldon, Ben C
Tavecchia, Giacomo
Tarwater, Corey E
Veiberg, Vebjørn
Viblanc, Vincent A
von Holst, Dietrich
Vriend, Stefan J G
Wanless, Sarah
Wheelwright, Nathaniel
Wood, Andrew G
Sæther, Bernt-Erik
Jenouvrier, Stephanie
Clobert, Jean
Beissinger, Steven R
Visser, Marcel E
Reed, Thomas E
van de Pol, Martijn
collection PubMed - marine biology
contents Changes in phenology mediate vertebrate population responses to temperature globally. Radchuk, Viktoriia Jones, Carys V McLean, Nina Charmantier, Anne Teplitsky, Céline Alisauskas, Ray Ancona, Sergio Anker-Nilssen, Tycho Arcese, Peter Arlt, Debora Aubry, Lise M Bailey, Liam Barbraud, Christophe Berg, Karl S Berteaux, Dominique Blumstein, Daniel T Bouwhuis, Sandra Brose, Ulrich Brouwer, Lyanne Catry, Paulo Chero, Guillaume Chiaradia, Andre Courtiol, Alexandre Daunt, Francis Delord, Karine Dobson, F Stephen Drummond, Hugh Eeva, Tapio Fauteux, Dominique Gauthier, Gilles Genovart, Meritxell Granadeiro, José P Hentati-Sundberg, Jonas Harris, Michael Igual, José Manuel Janzen, Fredric Keogan, Katharine Korpimäki, Erkki Kramer-Schadt, Stephanie Kruuk, Loeske E B Lewis, Sue Mallory, Mark Martin, Julien Massot, Manuel Matthysen, Erik Mihoub, Jean-Baptiste Møller, Anders Pape Nater, Chloé R Newell, Mark Oppel, Steffen Oro, Daniel Ortega, Santiago Parejo, Deseada Pärt, Tomas Payo-Payo, Ana Pemberton, Josephine Phillips, Richard A Pillay, Neville Avilés, Jesús M Rödel, Heiko G Sanz-Aguilar, Ana Saraux, Claire Schielzeth, Holger Schradin, Carsten Schroeder, Julia Sheldon, Ben C Tavecchia, Giacomo Tarwater, Corey E Veiberg, Vebjørn Viblanc, Vincent A von Holst, Dietrich Vriend, Stefan J G Wanless, Sarah Wheelwright, Nathaniel Wood, Andrew G Sæther, Bernt-Erik Jenouvrier, Stephanie Clobert, Jean Beissinger, Steven R Visser, Marcel E Reed, Thomas E van de Pol, Martijn Animals Temperature Vertebrates Population Dynamics Phenotype Climate Change Global Warming Population Density Population Growth Phenotypic responses to climate affect individual fitness, but the extent to which this translates into effects on population dynamics remains poorly understood. We assemble 213 time series on phenotypes and population sizes of wild vertebrates globally and match them with local climate data. Our meta-analysis shows that morphological traits are mostly climate insensitive. However, phenology is earlier in warmer-than-average years, which contributes positively to population growth in most species. At lower latitudes, temperature has weaker effects on phenology but stronger direct negative effects on population growth, likely because these populations are less capable of tracking climate via plasticity. Variation in the phenology-mediated effect of temperature on population growth cannot be explained by latitude, generation time, migratory mode, or diet. This suggests that simple relationships between species characteristics and population responses to warming may not occur in nature. Instead, we may need to embrace ecological complexity by considering local-scale predictors that capture intra-specific variation.
format Artículo científico
id pubmed_41526389
institution PubMed
language en
publishDate 2026
publisher Nature communications
record_format pubmed
spellingShingle Changes in phenology mediate vertebrate population responses to temperature globally.
Radchuk, Viktoriia
Jones, Carys V
McLean, Nina
Charmantier, Anne
Teplitsky, Céline
Alisauskas, Ray
Ancona, Sergio
Anker-Nilssen, Tycho
Arcese, Peter
Arlt, Debora
Aubry, Lise M
Bailey, Liam
Barbraud, Christophe
Berg, Karl S
Berteaux, Dominique
Blumstein, Daniel T
Bouwhuis, Sandra
Brose, Ulrich
Brouwer, Lyanne
Catry, Paulo
Chero, Guillaume
Chiaradia, Andre
Courtiol, Alexandre
Daunt, Francis
Delord, Karine
Dobson, F Stephen
Drummond, Hugh
Eeva, Tapio
Fauteux, Dominique
Gauthier, Gilles
Genovart, Meritxell
Granadeiro, José P
Hentati-Sundberg, Jonas
Harris, Michael
Igual, José Manuel
Janzen, Fredric
Keogan, Katharine
Korpimäki, Erkki
Kramer-Schadt, Stephanie
Kruuk, Loeske E B
Lewis, Sue
Mallory, Mark
Martin, Julien
Massot, Manuel
Matthysen, Erik
Mihoub, Jean-Baptiste
Møller, Anders Pape
Nater, Chloé R
Newell, Mark
Oppel, Steffen
Oro, Daniel
Ortega, Santiago
Parejo, Deseada
Pärt, Tomas
Payo-Payo, Ana
Pemberton, Josephine
Phillips, Richard A
Pillay, Neville
Avilés, Jesús M
Rödel, Heiko G
Sanz-Aguilar, Ana
Saraux, Claire
Schielzeth, Holger
Schradin, Carsten
Schroeder, Julia
Sheldon, Ben C
Tavecchia, Giacomo
Tarwater, Corey E
Veiberg, Vebjørn
Viblanc, Vincent A
von Holst, Dietrich
Vriend, Stefan J G
Wanless, Sarah
Wheelwright, Nathaniel
Wood, Andrew G
Sæther, Bernt-Erik
Jenouvrier, Stephanie
Clobert, Jean
Beissinger, Steven R
Visser, Marcel E
Reed, Thomas E
van de Pol, Martijn
Animals
Temperature
Vertebrates
Population Dynamics
Phenotype
Climate Change
Global Warming
Population Density
Population Growth
Changes in phenology mediate vertebrate population responses to temperature globally. Radchuk, Viktoriia Jones, Carys V McLean, Nina Charmantier, Anne Teplitsky, Céline Alisauskas, Ray Ancona, Sergio Anker-Nilssen, Tycho Arcese, Peter Arlt, Debora Aubry, Lise M Bailey, Liam Barbraud, Christophe Berg, Karl S Berteaux, Dominique Blumstein, Daniel T Bouwhuis, Sandra Brose, Ulrich Brouwer, Lyanne Catry, Paulo Chero, Guillaume Chiaradia, Andre Courtiol, Alexandre Daunt, Francis Delord, Karine Dobson, F Stephen Drummond, Hugh Eeva, Tapio Fauteux, Dominique Gauthier, Gilles Genovart, Meritxell Granadeiro, José P Hentati-Sundberg, Jonas Harris, Michael Igual, José Manuel Janzen, Fredric Keogan, Katharine Korpimäki, Erkki Kramer-Schadt, Stephanie Kruuk, Loeske E B Lewis, Sue Mallory, Mark Martin, Julien Massot, Manuel Matthysen, Erik Mihoub, Jean-Baptiste Møller, Anders Pape Nater, Chloé R Newell, Mark Oppel, Steffen Oro, Daniel Ortega, Santiago Parejo, Deseada Pärt, Tomas Payo-Payo, Ana Pemberton, Josephine Phillips, Richard A Pillay, Neville Avilés, Jesús M Rödel, Heiko G Sanz-Aguilar, Ana Saraux, Claire Schielzeth, Holger Schradin, Carsten Schroeder, Julia Sheldon, Ben C Tavecchia, Giacomo Tarwater, Corey E Veiberg, Vebjørn Viblanc, Vincent A von Holst, Dietrich Vriend, Stefan J G Wanless, Sarah Wheelwright, Nathaniel Wood, Andrew G Sæther, Bernt-Erik Jenouvrier, Stephanie Clobert, Jean Beissinger, Steven R Visser, Marcel E Reed, Thomas E van de Pol, Martijn Animals Temperature Vertebrates Population Dynamics Phenotype Climate Change Global Warming Population Density Population Growth Phenotypic responses to climate affect individual fitness, but the extent to which this translates into effects on population dynamics remains poorly understood. We assemble 213 time series on phenotypes and population sizes of wild vertebrates globally and match them with local climate data. Our meta-analysis shows that morphological traits are mostly climate insensitive. However, phenology is earlier in warmer-than-average years, which contributes positively to population growth in most species. At lower latitudes, temperature has weaker effects on phenology but stronger direct negative effects on population growth, likely because these populations are less capable of tracking climate via plasticity. Variation in the phenology-mediated effect of temperature on population growth cannot be explained by latitude, generation time, migratory mode, or diet. This suggests that simple relationships between species characteristics and population responses to warming may not occur in nature. Instead, we may need to embrace ecological complexity by considering local-scale predictors that capture intra-specific variation.
title Changes in phenology mediate vertebrate population responses to temperature globally.
topic Animals
Temperature
Vertebrates
Population Dynamics
Phenotype
Climate Change
Global Warming
Population Density
Population Growth
url https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41526389/