Long-term trends of epibionts reflect Mediterranean striped dolphin abundance shifts caused by morbillivirus epidemics.

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Hauptverfasser: Ten, Sofía, Dupont, Gates, Raga, Juan Antonio, Dobson, Andy P, Aznar, Francisco Javier
Format: Artículo científico
Sprache:en
Veröffentlicht: The Journal of animal ecology 2026
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author Ten, Sofía
Dupont, Gates
Raga, Juan Antonio
Dobson, Andy P
Aznar, Francisco Javier
author_facet Ten, Sofía
Dupont, Gates
Raga, Juan Antonio
Dobson, Andy P
Aznar, Francisco Javier
Ten, Sofía
Dupont, Gates
Raga, Juan Antonio
Dobson, Andy P
Aznar, Francisco Javier
collection PubMed - marine biology
contents Long-term trends of epibionts reflect Mediterranean striped dolphin abundance shifts caused by morbillivirus epidemics. Ten, Sofía Dupont, Gates Raga, Juan Antonio Dobson, Andy P Aznar, Francisco Javier Animals Morbillivirus Infections Morbillivirus Population Dynamics Stenella Copepoda Models, Biological Mediterranean Sea Population Density Since 1990, Mediterranean striped dolphins, Stenella coeruleoalba, have suffered two mass mortality events caused by the dolphin morbillivirus (DMV), but the population-level impact is unknown because abundance estimates are spatio-temporally sparse. This study investigates whether data from epibionts of striped dolphins-the barnacle Xenobalanus globicipitis, the cyamid Syncyamus aequus, and the copepod Pennella balaenoptera, with different life cycles and degrees of specificity-could provide indirect evidence on host population dynamics. To address this question, we combined empirical and theoretical approaches. First, we used Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) to examine occurrence trends of the three epibiotic species over the period 1980-2023 for both striped dolphins and other sympatric cetacean species that did not suffer DMV outbreaks. Second, we developed a two-step theoretical modeling approach to investigate the epidemiology of these DMV outbreaks (SIR model) and to link dolphin population abundance shifts with the epibiont trends observed empirically (mechanistic model). The SIR model provided coarse estimates of the impact of DMV on the striped dolphin population under two scenarios with varying virus-induced mortality and duration of the infectious period. These estimates were then used to simulate the effect of dolphin population shifts on its epibionts through mechanistic models. Models indicated that DMV-induced shifts in striped dolphin population dynamics have cascading effects on the population abundance of X. globicipitis and S. aequus, whereas the population of the less host-specific P. balaenoptera was unaffected. Together, long-term trends in the occurrence of host-specific epibionts can serve as an indicator of host abundance shifts.
format Artículo científico
id pubmed_41649039
institution PubMed
language en
publishDate 2026
publisher The Journal of animal ecology
record_format pubmed
spellingShingle Long-term trends of epibionts reflect Mediterranean striped dolphin abundance shifts caused by morbillivirus epidemics.
Ten, Sofía
Dupont, Gates
Raga, Juan Antonio
Dobson, Andy P
Aznar, Francisco Javier
Animals
Morbillivirus Infections
Morbillivirus
Population Dynamics
Stenella
Copepoda
Models, Biological
Mediterranean Sea
Population Density
Long-term trends of epibionts reflect Mediterranean striped dolphin abundance shifts caused by morbillivirus epidemics. Ten, Sofía Dupont, Gates Raga, Juan Antonio Dobson, Andy P Aznar, Francisco Javier Animals Morbillivirus Infections Morbillivirus Population Dynamics Stenella Copepoda Models, Biological Mediterranean Sea Population Density Since 1990, Mediterranean striped dolphins, Stenella coeruleoalba, have suffered two mass mortality events caused by the dolphin morbillivirus (DMV), but the population-level impact is unknown because abundance estimates are spatio-temporally sparse. This study investigates whether data from epibionts of striped dolphins-the barnacle Xenobalanus globicipitis, the cyamid Syncyamus aequus, and the copepod Pennella balaenoptera, with different life cycles and degrees of specificity-could provide indirect evidence on host population dynamics. To address this question, we combined empirical and theoretical approaches. First, we used Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) to examine occurrence trends of the three epibiotic species over the period 1980-2023 for both striped dolphins and other sympatric cetacean species that did not suffer DMV outbreaks. Second, we developed a two-step theoretical modeling approach to investigate the epidemiology of these DMV outbreaks (SIR model) and to link dolphin population abundance shifts with the epibiont trends observed empirically (mechanistic model). The SIR model provided coarse estimates of the impact of DMV on the striped dolphin population under two scenarios with varying virus-induced mortality and duration of the infectious period. These estimates were then used to simulate the effect of dolphin population shifts on its epibionts through mechanistic models. Models indicated that DMV-induced shifts in striped dolphin population dynamics have cascading effects on the population abundance of X. globicipitis and S. aequus, whereas the population of the less host-specific P. balaenoptera was unaffected. Together, long-term trends in the occurrence of host-specific epibionts can serve as an indicator of host abundance shifts.
title Long-term trends of epibionts reflect Mediterranean striped dolphin abundance shifts caused by morbillivirus epidemics.
topic Animals
Morbillivirus Infections
Morbillivirus
Population Dynamics
Stenella
Copepoda
Models, Biological
Mediterranean Sea
Population Density
url https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41649039/