Impacts of local anthropogenic stressors outpace those of climate on coral reef collapse in the northern South China Sea.
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| Auteurs principaux: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Artículo científico |
| Langue: | en |
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Nature communications
2026
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| _version_ | 1868266071858872323 |
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| author | Xu, Huili Li, Yuanchao Liu, Tong Wang, Binxue Ma, Lin Bai, Zhaohai Yu, Chaoqing Shan, Xiaoyang Li, Zichen Zhao, Shuqing Diao, Xiaoping Huang, Yuehua Yuan, Dongdan Li, Qipei Kang, Weilu Liang, Jilin Chen, Shiquan Wu, Zhongjie Li, Xiubao Kao, Shuh-Ji Jennerjahn, Tim Huang, Hui Huang, Danwei Chou, Loke Ming Zhao, Hongwei |
| author_facet | Xu, Huili Li, Yuanchao Liu, Tong Wang, Binxue Ma, Lin Bai, Zhaohai Yu, Chaoqing Shan, Xiaoyang Li, Zichen Zhao, Shuqing Diao, Xiaoping Huang, Yuehua Yuan, Dongdan Li, Qipei Kang, Weilu Liang, Jilin Chen, Shiquan Wu, Zhongjie Li, Xiubao Kao, Shuh-Ji Jennerjahn, Tim Huang, Hui Huang, Danwei Chou, Loke Ming Zhao, Hongwei Xu, Huili Li, Yuanchao Liu, Tong Wang, Binxue Ma, Lin Bai, Zhaohai Yu, Chaoqing Shan, Xiaoyang Li, Zichen Zhao, Shuqing Diao, Xiaoping Huang, Yuehua Yuan, Dongdan Li, Qipei Kang, Weilu Liang, Jilin Chen, Shiquan Wu, Zhongjie Li, Xiubao Kao, Shuh-Ji Jennerjahn, Tim Huang, Hui Huang, Danwei Chou, Loke Ming Zhao, Hongwei |
| collection | PubMed - marine biology |
| contents | Impacts of local anthropogenic stressors outpace those of climate on coral reef collapse in the northern South China Sea. Xu, Huili Li, Yuanchao Liu, Tong Wang, Binxue Ma, Lin Bai, Zhaohai Yu, Chaoqing Shan, Xiaoyang Li, Zichen Zhao, Shuqing Diao, Xiaoping Huang, Yuehua Yuan, Dongdan Li, Qipei Kang, Weilu Liang, Jilin Chen, Shiquan Wu, Zhongjie Li, Xiubao Kao, Shuh-Ji Jennerjahn, Tim Huang, Hui Huang, Danwei Chou, Loke Ming Zhao, Hongwei Coral Reefs Animals China Anthozoa Conservation of Natural Resources Anthropogenic Effects Oceans and Seas Fisheries Climate Climate Change Global Warming Starfish Coral reefs are declining globally, but region-specific drivers of degradation remain poorly quantified, hindering local conservation policymaking. By collecting two decades of field data from 102 sites across 22 coral reefs in the northern South China Sea and employing panel regressions and structural equation modeling, we identify key stressors that are responsible for 40% (17-50%) of the declines in live coral cover. Local anthropogenic stressors-overfishing, nutrient pollution from agriculture and coastal urbanization-collectively explain 73% of live coral coverage variance, outweighing climate-associated thermal stress. We then propose an Integrated Coast-Reef Management framework that couples land-sea interventions-prioritizing sustainable fisheries, watershed nutrient management, and controls of crown-of-thorns starfish outbreaks. Spatial simulations indicate that this synergistical strategy could elevate live coral coverage by two to four times under global warming scenarios, avoiding reef calcification collapse. Our findings contribute to coral conservation paradigms by highlighting tailored strategies at the local level beyond globalized approaches, which offer scalable solutions for regions facing similar pressures. |
| format | Artículo científico |
| id | pubmed_41851135 |
| institution | PubMed |
| language | en |
| publishDate | 2026 |
| publisher | Nature communications |
| record_format | pubmed |
| spellingShingle | Impacts of local anthropogenic stressors outpace those of climate on coral reef collapse in the northern South China Sea. Xu, Huili Li, Yuanchao Liu, Tong Wang, Binxue Ma, Lin Bai, Zhaohai Yu, Chaoqing Shan, Xiaoyang Li, Zichen Zhao, Shuqing Diao, Xiaoping Huang, Yuehua Yuan, Dongdan Li, Qipei Kang, Weilu Liang, Jilin Chen, Shiquan Wu, Zhongjie Li, Xiubao Kao, Shuh-Ji Jennerjahn, Tim Huang, Hui Huang, Danwei Chou, Loke Ming Zhao, Hongwei Coral Reefs Animals China Anthozoa Conservation of Natural Resources Anthropogenic Effects Oceans and Seas Fisheries Climate Climate Change Global Warming Starfish Impacts of local anthropogenic stressors outpace those of climate on coral reef collapse in the northern South China Sea. Xu, Huili Li, Yuanchao Liu, Tong Wang, Binxue Ma, Lin Bai, Zhaohai Yu, Chaoqing Shan, Xiaoyang Li, Zichen Zhao, Shuqing Diao, Xiaoping Huang, Yuehua Yuan, Dongdan Li, Qipei Kang, Weilu Liang, Jilin Chen, Shiquan Wu, Zhongjie Li, Xiubao Kao, Shuh-Ji Jennerjahn, Tim Huang, Hui Huang, Danwei Chou, Loke Ming Zhao, Hongwei Coral Reefs Animals China Anthozoa Conservation of Natural Resources Anthropogenic Effects Oceans and Seas Fisheries Climate Climate Change Global Warming Starfish Coral reefs are declining globally, but region-specific drivers of degradation remain poorly quantified, hindering local conservation policymaking. By collecting two decades of field data from 102 sites across 22 coral reefs in the northern South China Sea and employing panel regressions and structural equation modeling, we identify key stressors that are responsible for 40% (17-50%) of the declines in live coral cover. Local anthropogenic stressors-overfishing, nutrient pollution from agriculture and coastal urbanization-collectively explain 73% of live coral coverage variance, outweighing climate-associated thermal stress. We then propose an Integrated Coast-Reef Management framework that couples land-sea interventions-prioritizing sustainable fisheries, watershed nutrient management, and controls of crown-of-thorns starfish outbreaks. Spatial simulations indicate that this synergistical strategy could elevate live coral coverage by two to four times under global warming scenarios, avoiding reef calcification collapse. Our findings contribute to coral conservation paradigms by highlighting tailored strategies at the local level beyond globalized approaches, which offer scalable solutions for regions facing similar pressures. |
| title | Impacts of local anthropogenic stressors outpace those of climate on coral reef collapse in the northern South China Sea. |
| topic | Coral Reefs Animals China Anthozoa Conservation of Natural Resources Anthropogenic Effects Oceans and Seas Fisheries Climate Climate Change Global Warming Starfish |
| url | https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41851135/ |