Equiprobable Growth Model and Growth Cycles: An Approximation to Persistence and Volatility
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| Natura: | Artículo científico |
| Lingua: | en |
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Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México
2008
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| _version_ | 1876453602964275200 |
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| author | Zeus Salvador Hernández Veleros |
| author_facet | Zeus Salvador Hernández Veleros |
| contents | Equiprobable Growth Model and Growth Cycles: An Approximation to Persistence and Volatility Zeus Salvador Hernández Veleros Multidisciplinarias (Ciencias Sociales) trend bootstrap clustering growth cycles multinomial distribution This paper proposes an innovativeapproach, based on the multinomialdistribution and on the equiprobable growthmodel, to define and characterize growthcycles during the period 1950-2000, for 142countries by using three regimes of growthfor seven cluster of economies, and fromthese growth cycles, we obtained the longterm trend. Through bootstrap we contrastthe main hypothesis of the paper by meansof the expected value of the chosen regimes. 2008 artículo científico 1405-0269 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=10415103 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=104 CIENCIA ergo-sum, Revista Científica Multidisciplinaria de Prospectiva application/pdf Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México CIENCIA ergo-sum, Revista Científica Multidisciplinaria de Prospectiva (México) Num.1 Vol.15 |
| format | Artículo científico |
| id | redalyc_10415103 |
| institution | Redalyc |
| language | en |
| publishDate | 2008 |
| publisher | Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México |
| spellingShingle | Equiprobable Growth Model and Growth Cycles: An Approximation to Persistence and Volatility Zeus Salvador Hernández Veleros Multidisciplinarias (Ciencias Sociales) trend bootstrap clustering growth cycles multinomial distribution Equiprobable Growth Model and Growth Cycles: An Approximation to Persistence and Volatility Zeus Salvador Hernández Veleros Multidisciplinarias (Ciencias Sociales) trend bootstrap clustering growth cycles multinomial distribution This paper proposes an innovativeapproach, based on the multinomialdistribution and on the equiprobable growthmodel, to define and characterize growthcycles during the period 1950-2000, for 142countries by using three regimes of growthfor seven cluster of economies, and fromthese growth cycles, we obtained the longterm trend. Through bootstrap we contrastthe main hypothesis of the paper by meansof the expected value of the chosen regimes. 2008 artículo científico 1405-0269 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=10415103 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=104 CIENCIA ergo-sum, Revista Científica Multidisciplinaria de Prospectiva application/pdf Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México CIENCIA ergo-sum, Revista Científica Multidisciplinaria de Prospectiva (México) Num.1 Vol.15 |
| title | Equiprobable Growth Model and Growth Cycles: An Approximation to Persistence and Volatility |
| topic | Multidisciplinarias (Ciencias Sociales) trend bootstrap clustering growth cycles multinomial distribution |
| url | https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=10415103 |