Effects of climatic and social factors on dengue incidence in Mexican municipalities in the state of Veracruz
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| Natura: | Artículo científico |
| Lingua: | en |
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Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública
2017
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| _version_ | 1876453400351080448 |
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| author | Grea Litai Moreno-Banda |
| author_facet | Grea Litai Moreno-Banda |
| contents | Effects of climatic and social factors on dengue incidence in Mexican municipalities in the state of Veracruz Grea Litai Moreno-Banda Horacio Riojas-Rodríguez Magali Hurtado-Díaz Rogelio Danis-Lozano Stephen Joel Rothenberg Salud tion Dengue El Nino climate disease vectors Objective. To assess links between the social variables and longer-term El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) related weather conditions as they relate to the week-to-week changes in dengue incidence at a regional level. Materials and methods . We collected data from 10 municipalities of the Olmeca region in México, over a 10 year period (January 1995 to December 2005). Negative binomial models with distributed lags were adjusted to look for associations bet- ween changes in the weekly incidence rate of dengue fever and climate variability. Results . Our results show that it takes approximately six weeks for sea surface temperatures (SST -34) to affect dengue incidence adjusted by weather and social variables. Conclusion. Such models could be used as early as two months in advance to provide information to decision makers about potential epidemics. Elucidating the effect of climatic variability and social variables, could assist in the development of accurate early warning systems for epidemics like dengue, Chikungunya and Zika. 2017 artículo científico 0036-3634 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=10650518012 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=106 Salud Pública de México application/pdf Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública Salud Pública de México (México) Num.1 Vol.59 |
| format | Artículo científico |
| id | redalyc_10650518012 |
| institution | Redalyc |
| language | en |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| publisher | Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública |
| spellingShingle | Effects of climatic and social factors on dengue incidence in Mexican municipalities in the state of Veracruz Grea Litai Moreno-Banda Salud tion Dengue El Nino climate disease vectors Effects of climatic and social factors on dengue incidence in Mexican municipalities in the state of Veracruz Grea Litai Moreno-Banda Horacio Riojas-Rodríguez Magali Hurtado-Díaz Rogelio Danis-Lozano Stephen Joel Rothenberg Salud tion Dengue El Nino climate disease vectors Objective. To assess links between the social variables and longer-term El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) related weather conditions as they relate to the week-to-week changes in dengue incidence at a regional level. Materials and methods . We collected data from 10 municipalities of the Olmeca region in México, over a 10 year period (January 1995 to December 2005). Negative binomial models with distributed lags were adjusted to look for associations bet- ween changes in the weekly incidence rate of dengue fever and climate variability. Results . Our results show that it takes approximately six weeks for sea surface temperatures (SST -34) to affect dengue incidence adjusted by weather and social variables. Conclusion. Such models could be used as early as two months in advance to provide information to decision makers about potential epidemics. Elucidating the effect of climatic variability and social variables, could assist in the development of accurate early warning systems for epidemics like dengue, Chikungunya and Zika. 2017 artículo científico 0036-3634 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=10650518012 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=106 Salud Pública de México application/pdf Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública Salud Pública de México (México) Num.1 Vol.59 |
| title | Effects of climatic and social factors on dengue incidence in Mexican municipalities in the state of Veracruz |
| topic | Salud tion Dengue El Nino climate disease vectors |
| url | https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=10650518012 |