FINANCIAL RISK ASSESSMENT OF DIFFERENT INVENTORY POLICIES

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Main Author: Héctor Hernán Toro
Format: Artículo científico
Language:en
Published: Escuela de Ingeniería de Antioquia 2011
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author Héctor Hernán Toro
author_facet Héctor Hernán Toro
contents FINANCIAL RISK ASSESSMENT OF DIFFERENT INVENTORY POLICIES Héctor Hernán Toro Leonardo Rivera Diego Fernando Manotas Ingeniería Value at Risk Investment analysis inventory management Monte Carlo simulation This work addresses the valuation of economic effects of different inventory holding policies. We study the VaR over the value of a company and the variations induced on this indicator by the changes made to the working capital, related to inventory policies. Three typical different inventory systems are studied and comparisons are drawn between different policies. Policies derived from net present value (NPV) maximization are contrasted against cost minimization, as well as against arbitrary inventory policies derived from market conditions. Every inventory system under study is evaluated using two performance indicators: NPV and VaR over NPV. The inventory policies are derived in a deterministic scenario, but are tested under the risk conditions that the inventory systems have to face. This is done by using Monte Carlo simulation. In all three of the inventory systems under study, the difference between price and variable cost is what causes the greatest variation on the NPV indicator. An important result of this work is that for the cases studied, which are rather common in the real world, the optimal inventory policies obtained by using the cost minimization approach are equally good from a risk minimization perspective than those obtained by using the profit maximization approach. 2011 artículo científico 1794-1237 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=149222630003 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=1492 Revista EIA application/pdf Escuela de Ingeniería de Antioquia Revista EIA (Colombia) Num.16
format Artículo científico
id redalyc_149222630003
institution Redalyc
language en
publishDate 2011
publisher Escuela de Ingeniería de Antioquia
spellingShingle FINANCIAL RISK ASSESSMENT OF DIFFERENT INVENTORY POLICIES
Héctor Hernán Toro
Ingeniería
Value at Risk
Investment analysis
inventory management
Monte Carlo simulation
FINANCIAL RISK ASSESSMENT OF DIFFERENT INVENTORY POLICIES Héctor Hernán Toro Leonardo Rivera Diego Fernando Manotas Ingeniería Value at Risk Investment analysis inventory management Monte Carlo simulation This work addresses the valuation of economic effects of different inventory holding policies. We study the VaR over the value of a company and the variations induced on this indicator by the changes made to the working capital, related to inventory policies. Three typical different inventory systems are studied and comparisons are drawn between different policies. Policies derived from net present value (NPV) maximization are contrasted against cost minimization, as well as against arbitrary inventory policies derived from market conditions. Every inventory system under study is evaluated using two performance indicators: NPV and VaR over NPV. The inventory policies are derived in a deterministic scenario, but are tested under the risk conditions that the inventory systems have to face. This is done by using Monte Carlo simulation. In all three of the inventory systems under study, the difference between price and variable cost is what causes the greatest variation on the NPV indicator. An important result of this work is that for the cases studied, which are rather common in the real world, the optimal inventory policies obtained by using the cost minimization approach are equally good from a risk minimization perspective than those obtained by using the profit maximization approach. 2011 artículo científico 1794-1237 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=149222630003 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=1492 Revista EIA application/pdf Escuela de Ingeniería de Antioquia Revista EIA (Colombia) Num.16
title FINANCIAL RISK ASSESSMENT OF DIFFERENT INVENTORY POLICIES
topic Ingeniería
Value at Risk
Investment analysis
inventory management
Monte Carlo simulation
url https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=149222630003