Financial ratios as a powerful instrument to predict insolvency; a study using boosting algorithms in Colombian firms

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1. Verfasser: Diego Andrés Correa-Mejía
Format: Artículo científico
Sprache:en
Veröffentlicht: Universidad ICESI 2020
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author Diego Andrés Correa-Mejía
author_facet Diego Andrés Correa-Mejía
contents Financial ratios as a powerful instrument to predict insolvency; a study using boosting algorithms in Colombian firms Diego Andrés Correa-Mejía Mauricio Lopera-Castaño Administración y Contabilidad bankruptcy financial ratios financial analysis boosting algorithm Insolvency prediction This study is motivated by the importance of accurately predicting insolvency before it happens. The paper aims to develop an insolvency prediction model for Colombian firms with one, two and three years of anticipation through financial ratios, keeping sample structures and taking into account insolvency-related regulation. This research contributes to the literature because unlike many studies, it takes legislation into account, explains the different types of financial ratios, and uses boosting algorithms without biasing the sample. Data from 11,812 Colombian companies covering the period 2012-2016 was used. The results show accuracy above 70% for insolvency prediction with one, two and three years of anticipation. 2020 artículo científico 0123-5923 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=21265006010 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/212/21265006010/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/212/21265006010/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/212/21265006010/21265006010.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/212/21265006010/movil 10.18046/j.estger.2020.155.3588 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=212 Estudios Gerenciales application/pdf Universidad ICESI Estudios Gerenciales (Colombia) Num.155 Vol.36
format Artículo científico
id redalyc_21265006010
institution Redalyc
language en
publishDate 2020
publisher Universidad ICESI
spellingShingle Financial ratios as a powerful instrument to predict insolvency; a study using boosting algorithms in Colombian firms
Diego Andrés Correa-Mejía
Administración y Contabilidad
bankruptcy
financial ratios
financial analysis
boosting algorithm
Insolvency prediction
Financial ratios as a powerful instrument to predict insolvency; a study using boosting algorithms in Colombian firms Diego Andrés Correa-Mejía Mauricio Lopera-Castaño Administración y Contabilidad bankruptcy financial ratios financial analysis boosting algorithm Insolvency prediction This study is motivated by the importance of accurately predicting insolvency before it happens. The paper aims to develop an insolvency prediction model for Colombian firms with one, two and three years of anticipation through financial ratios, keeping sample structures and taking into account insolvency-related regulation. This research contributes to the literature because unlike many studies, it takes legislation into account, explains the different types of financial ratios, and uses boosting algorithms without biasing the sample. Data from 11,812 Colombian companies covering the period 2012-2016 was used. The results show accuracy above 70% for insolvency prediction with one, two and three years of anticipation. 2020 artículo científico 0123-5923 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=21265006010 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/212/21265006010/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/212/21265006010/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/212/21265006010/21265006010.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/212/21265006010/movil 10.18046/j.estger.2020.155.3588 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=212 Estudios Gerenciales application/pdf Universidad ICESI Estudios Gerenciales (Colombia) Num.155 Vol.36
title Financial ratios as a powerful instrument to predict insolvency; a study using boosting algorithms in Colombian firms
topic Administración y Contabilidad
bankruptcy
financial ratios
financial analysis
boosting algorithm
Insolvency prediction
url https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=21265006010
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/212/21265006010/
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/212/21265006010/html/
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/212/21265006010/21265006010.epub
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/212/21265006010/movil