Argentinean real exchange rate 1900-2006: testing purchasing power parity theory

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Main Author: Marcos José Dal Bianco
Format: Artículo científico
Language:en
Published: Universidad de Chile 2008
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author Marcos José Dal Bianco
author_facet Marcos José Dal Bianco
contents Argentinean real exchange rate 1900-2006: testing purchasing power parity theory Marcos José Dal Bianco Economía y Finanzas stationarity cointegration unit root tests structural breaks real exchange rate This paper tests the Purchasing Power Parity Theory of Exchange Rates dealingwith Argentinean data for the period 1900-2006. This is equivalent to testing ifthe Real Exchange Rate is a stationary variable or if its components (the nominalexchange rate and the relative prices) are cointegrated. Since most works studydeveloped countries or developing countries but with short span data, this paperaims to fill a gap in the wide PPP literature by studding a developing country witha long-run approach. This country is particularly interesting since during 20thcentury “Argentine economic performance tells a story of decline unparalleledin modern times” (Taylor 1992). The downfall of this once developed countryhas probably affected the behavior of its RER and the validity of PPP. To checkthis, we use a wide set of econometric techniques and found that the PPP theoryis not verified in Argentina, since its RER appears as a non-stationary variable,and there is no evidence of cointegration between the nominal exchange rateand the relative prices. In particular, the Argentinean RER appears to betrend-stationary under structural breaks with a continuous real depreciationof the Argentinean currency, especially in the first half of XX century, which isconsistent with theories that relate the secular impoverishment of a country withthe depreciation of its RER, as the Balassa-Samuelson effect 2008 artículo científico 0304-2758 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=22135103 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=221 Estudios de Economía application/pdf Universidad de Chile Estudios de Economía (Chile) Num.1 Vol.35
format Artículo científico
id redalyc_22135103
institution Redalyc
language en
publishDate 2008
publisher Universidad de Chile
spellingShingle Argentinean real exchange rate 1900-2006: testing purchasing power parity theory
Marcos José Dal Bianco
Economía y Finanzas
stationarity
cointegration
unit root tests
structural breaks
real exchange rate
Argentinean real exchange rate 1900-2006: testing purchasing power parity theory Marcos José Dal Bianco Economía y Finanzas stationarity cointegration unit root tests structural breaks real exchange rate This paper tests the Purchasing Power Parity Theory of Exchange Rates dealingwith Argentinean data for the period 1900-2006. This is equivalent to testing ifthe Real Exchange Rate is a stationary variable or if its components (the nominalexchange rate and the relative prices) are cointegrated. Since most works studydeveloped countries or developing countries but with short span data, this paperaims to fill a gap in the wide PPP literature by studding a developing country witha long-run approach. This country is particularly interesting since during 20thcentury “Argentine economic performance tells a story of decline unparalleledin modern times” (Taylor 1992). The downfall of this once developed countryhas probably affected the behavior of its RER and the validity of PPP. To checkthis, we use a wide set of econometric techniques and found that the PPP theoryis not verified in Argentina, since its RER appears as a non-stationary variable,and there is no evidence of cointegration between the nominal exchange rateand the relative prices. In particular, the Argentinean RER appears to betrend-stationary under structural breaks with a continuous real depreciationof the Argentinean currency, especially in the first half of XX century, which isconsistent with theories that relate the secular impoverishment of a country withthe depreciation of its RER, as the Balassa-Samuelson effect 2008 artículo científico 0304-2758 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=22135103 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=221 Estudios de Economía application/pdf Universidad de Chile Estudios de Economía (Chile) Num.1 Vol.35
title Argentinean real exchange rate 1900-2006: testing purchasing power parity theory
topic Economía y Finanzas
stationarity
cointegration
unit root tests
structural breaks
real exchange rate
url https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=22135103