Evaluation of Mortality Risk with the IMPACT Scale in Patients with Cardiac Transplantation from a Latin American Population

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Autor principal: ANTONIO FIGUEREDO
Formato: Artículo científico
Lenguaje:en
Publicado: Sociedad Argentina de Cardiología 2016
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author ANTONIO FIGUEREDO
author_facet ANTONIO FIGUEREDO
contents Evaluation of Mortality Risk with the IMPACT Scale in Patients with Cardiac Transplantation from a Latin American Population ANTONIO FIGUEREDO LUIS E. ECHEVERRÍA VÍCTOR R. CASTILLO ADRIANA S. MURCIA LYDA Z. ROJAS EDNA M. GAMBOA Medicina Mortality Heart Failure Heart Transplantation Background: Given the importance of optimizing organ allocation due to shortage of donors and high costs, it is essential to assess and improve survival rate in patients undergoing heart transplantation. There is currently no specific, integrated and widely accepted tool to assess mortality risk in these patients. Objective: To assess the predictive capacity of the IMPACT scale for in-hospital and one-year mortality in patients undergoing heart transplantation at the Colombian Heart Foundation. Methods: This was a prospective cohort study of 72 patients. Incidences, survival curves, discriminative capacity of the final model, and factors associated with mortality were determined. Results: The incidence of in-hospital and one-year mortality was 11.11% (95% CI 4.92-20.72) and 23.61% (95% CI 14.37-35.09), respectively. Patients >60 years of age (HR 2.68; 95% CI 1.54-4.66; p=0.000), with creatinine clearance <30 ml/min (HR 5.07; 95% CI 1.11-23.15; p=0.036), and dialysis (HR 1.66; 95% CI 1.15-2.40; p=0.006), had higher risk of in-hospital mortality. The characteristics associated with one-year mortality were age >60 years (HR 1.57; 95% CI 1.11-2.23; p=0.011), dialysis (HR 1.62; 95% CI 1.18-2.23; p=0.003), intra-aortic balloon pump counterpulsation (HR 1.42; 95% CI 1.02-1.98; p=0.040) and ventricular assist device (HR 1.57; 95% CI 1.03-2.3; p=0.034). The area under the ROC curve for in-hospital and one-year mortality after transplantation was 74.22% (95% CI 50.67-97.76) and 59.09% (95% CI 42.20-75.97), respectively. Conclusions: IMPACT had better performance in predicting in-hospital than one-year mortality at our institution. It should be cautiously interpreted until variables explaining their regional performance are included. 2016 artículo científico 0034-7000 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=305349380013 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=3053 Revista Argentina de Cardiología application/pdf Sociedad Argentina de Cardiología Revista Argentina de Cardiología (Argentina) Num.5 Vol.84
format Artículo científico
id redalyc_305349380013
institution Redalyc
language en
publishDate 2016
publisher Sociedad Argentina de Cardiología
spellingShingle Evaluation of Mortality Risk with the IMPACT Scale in Patients with Cardiac Transplantation from a Latin American Population
ANTONIO FIGUEREDO
Medicina
Mortality
Heart Failure
Heart Transplantation
Evaluation of Mortality Risk with the IMPACT Scale in Patients with Cardiac Transplantation from a Latin American Population ANTONIO FIGUEREDO LUIS E. ECHEVERRÍA VÍCTOR R. CASTILLO ADRIANA S. MURCIA LYDA Z. ROJAS EDNA M. GAMBOA Medicina Mortality Heart Failure Heart Transplantation Background: Given the importance of optimizing organ allocation due to shortage of donors and high costs, it is essential to assess and improve survival rate in patients undergoing heart transplantation. There is currently no specific, integrated and widely accepted tool to assess mortality risk in these patients. Objective: To assess the predictive capacity of the IMPACT scale for in-hospital and one-year mortality in patients undergoing heart transplantation at the Colombian Heart Foundation. Methods: This was a prospective cohort study of 72 patients. Incidences, survival curves, discriminative capacity of the final model, and factors associated with mortality were determined. Results: The incidence of in-hospital and one-year mortality was 11.11% (95% CI 4.92-20.72) and 23.61% (95% CI 14.37-35.09), respectively. Patients >60 years of age (HR 2.68; 95% CI 1.54-4.66; p=0.000), with creatinine clearance <30 ml/min (HR 5.07; 95% CI 1.11-23.15; p=0.036), and dialysis (HR 1.66; 95% CI 1.15-2.40; p=0.006), had higher risk of in-hospital mortality. The characteristics associated with one-year mortality were age >60 years (HR 1.57; 95% CI 1.11-2.23; p=0.011), dialysis (HR 1.62; 95% CI 1.18-2.23; p=0.003), intra-aortic balloon pump counterpulsation (HR 1.42; 95% CI 1.02-1.98; p=0.040) and ventricular assist device (HR 1.57; 95% CI 1.03-2.3; p=0.034). The area under the ROC curve for in-hospital and one-year mortality after transplantation was 74.22% (95% CI 50.67-97.76) and 59.09% (95% CI 42.20-75.97), respectively. Conclusions: IMPACT had better performance in predicting in-hospital than one-year mortality at our institution. It should be cautiously interpreted until variables explaining their regional performance are included. 2016 artículo científico 0034-7000 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=305349380013 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=3053 Revista Argentina de Cardiología application/pdf Sociedad Argentina de Cardiología Revista Argentina de Cardiología (Argentina) Num.5 Vol.84
title Evaluation of Mortality Risk with the IMPACT Scale in Patients with Cardiac Transplantation from a Latin American Population
topic Medicina
Mortality
Heart Failure
Heart Transplantation
url https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=305349380013