¿El comercio lleva a la convergencia? Un análisis del efecto del TLCAN sobre la convergencia local en México
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| Format: | Artículo científico |
| Sprache: | es |
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Fondo de Cultura Económica
2017
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| _version_ | 1876436566952378368 |
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| author | Alberto Díaz Dapena |
| author_facet | Alberto Díaz Dapena |
| contents | ¿El comercio lleva a la convergencia? Un análisis del efecto del TLCAN sobre la convergencia local en México Alberto Díaz Dapena Esteban Fernández Vázquez Rafael Garduño Rivera Fernando Rubiera Morollón Economía y Finanzas R15 clusters JEL Clas Convergence sification: R11 Background: Regional Economics and Economic Growth focus on the question of whether trade leads to a greater concentration of economic activity. Neverthe- less, little empirical work has assessed the impact of trade on regional conver - gence. Therefore, this paper studies the regional convergence that has occurred in Mexico since NAFTA came into effect. Unlike previous papers, working with municipal-level data allows us to both observe the convergence patterns across space more clearly and to identify the effect of NAFTA . Methods: A conditional β -convergence model and conditional club β -convergence model were performed. However, in contrast to previous empirical studies, we use municipal panel data to identify more clearly the relationship between trade and regional convergence, and include the 2009 economic census to observe whether, after fifteen years of NAFTA , the economy has decentralized away from Mexico City to the US border regions. Results: The result shows that after NAFTA came into effect, the convergence in regions near the US border grew faster than it did in those further from it. How- ever, there is a significant reduction in the β coefficient after NAFTA , indicating a slowdown in the rate of convergence. Furthermore, we find that rather than be- coming integrated into world markets, municipalities in the south have instead lagged behind their counterparts since the signing of NAFTA . Conclusions: Even though centrifugal forces are starting to function, there is a signifi- cant reduction in the β coefficient after NAFTA came into effect. This suggests that better policies will be needed in order to control the increase in regional disparities. 2017 artículo científico 0041-3011 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=31349242003 es http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=313 El Trimestre Económico application/pdf Fondo de Cultura Económica El Trimestre Económico (México) Num.333 Vol.84 |
| format | Artículo científico |
| id | redalyc_31349242003 |
| institution | Redalyc |
| language | es |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| publisher | Fondo de Cultura Económica |
| spellingShingle | ¿El comercio lleva a la convergencia? Un análisis del efecto del TLCAN sobre la convergencia local en México Alberto Díaz Dapena Economía y Finanzas R15 clusters JEL Clas Convergence sification: R11 ¿El comercio lleva a la convergencia? Un análisis del efecto del TLCAN sobre la convergencia local en México Alberto Díaz Dapena Esteban Fernández Vázquez Rafael Garduño Rivera Fernando Rubiera Morollón Economía y Finanzas R15 clusters JEL Clas Convergence sification: R11 Background: Regional Economics and Economic Growth focus on the question of whether trade leads to a greater concentration of economic activity. Neverthe- less, little empirical work has assessed the impact of trade on regional conver - gence. Therefore, this paper studies the regional convergence that has occurred in Mexico since NAFTA came into effect. Unlike previous papers, working with municipal-level data allows us to both observe the convergence patterns across space more clearly and to identify the effect of NAFTA . Methods: A conditional β -convergence model and conditional club β -convergence model were performed. However, in contrast to previous empirical studies, we use municipal panel data to identify more clearly the relationship between trade and regional convergence, and include the 2009 economic census to observe whether, after fifteen years of NAFTA , the economy has decentralized away from Mexico City to the US border regions. Results: The result shows that after NAFTA came into effect, the convergence in regions near the US border grew faster than it did in those further from it. How- ever, there is a significant reduction in the β coefficient after NAFTA , indicating a slowdown in the rate of convergence. Furthermore, we find that rather than be- coming integrated into world markets, municipalities in the south have instead lagged behind their counterparts since the signing of NAFTA . Conclusions: Even though centrifugal forces are starting to function, there is a signifi- cant reduction in the β coefficient after NAFTA came into effect. This suggests that better policies will be needed in order to control the increase in regional disparities. 2017 artículo científico 0041-3011 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=31349242003 es http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=313 El Trimestre Económico application/pdf Fondo de Cultura Económica El Trimestre Económico (México) Num.333 Vol.84 |
| title | ¿El comercio lleva a la convergencia? Un análisis del efecto del TLCAN sobre la convergencia local en México |
| topic | Economía y Finanzas R15 clusters JEL Clas Convergence sification: R11 |
| url | https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=31349242003 |