Sector-Level Disaggregate Stochastic Trends in Mexico’s Real Output

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Autor principal: Antonio E. Noriega
Formato: Artículo científico
Lenguaje:en
Publicado: Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, A.C. 2004
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author Antonio E. Noriega
author_facet Antonio E. Noriega
contents Sector-Level Disaggregate Stochastic Trends in Mexico’s Real Output Antonio E. Noriega Economía y Finanzas Cointegration Common Trends Sectorial Production Sequential Unit Root Testing Our aim is to examine whether sectorial production shocks havepredominated in Mexico’s long annual real output, and whether shocksfrom different sectors are correlated. We study the long-run movementand comovements of 6 production sectors, using long, low frequency datafor the Mexican economy from 1921 to 1993 and Johansen’s (1991, 1995)method to test for cointegration, that is, the possibility of commonstochastic shocks driving growth among sectors. Under cointegration, theidiosyncratic sectorial shocks cancel out and vanish, giving rise to a(possibly multiple) stochastic growth component common to all (some)sectors. We show that the sources of permanent innovations in Mexico’sreal output are more likely to come from sector-group-specific sourcesrather than from either independent sector-specific technological shocks,or common aggregate permanent innovations. 2004 artículo científico 1665-2045 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=32313102 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=323 Economía Mexicana. Nueva Época application/pdf Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, A.C. Economía Mexicana. Nueva Época (México) Num.1 Vol.XIII
format Artículo científico
id redalyc_32313102
institution Redalyc
language en
publishDate 2004
publisher Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, A.C.
spellingShingle Sector-Level Disaggregate Stochastic Trends in Mexico’s Real Output
Antonio E. Noriega
Economía y Finanzas
Cointegration
Common Trends
Sectorial Production
Sequential Unit Root Testing
Sector-Level Disaggregate Stochastic Trends in Mexico’s Real Output Antonio E. Noriega Economía y Finanzas Cointegration Common Trends Sectorial Production Sequential Unit Root Testing Our aim is to examine whether sectorial production shocks havepredominated in Mexico’s long annual real output, and whether shocksfrom different sectors are correlated. We study the long-run movementand comovements of 6 production sectors, using long, low frequency datafor the Mexican economy from 1921 to 1993 and Johansen’s (1991, 1995)method to test for cointegration, that is, the possibility of commonstochastic shocks driving growth among sectors. Under cointegration, theidiosyncratic sectorial shocks cancel out and vanish, giving rise to a(possibly multiple) stochastic growth component common to all (some)sectors. We show that the sources of permanent innovations in Mexico’sreal output are more likely to come from sector-group-specific sourcesrather than from either independent sector-specific technological shocks,or common aggregate permanent innovations. 2004 artículo científico 1665-2045 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=32313102 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=323 Economía Mexicana. Nueva Época application/pdf Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, A.C. Economía Mexicana. Nueva Época (México) Num.1 Vol.XIII
title Sector-Level Disaggregate Stochastic Trends in Mexico’s Real Output
topic Economía y Finanzas
Cointegration
Common Trends
Sectorial Production
Sequential Unit Root Testing
url https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=32313102