Are the Mexican States and the United States Business Cycles Synchronized?. Evidence from the Manufacturing Production

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Autore principale: Pablo Mejía-Reyes
Natura: Artículo científico
Lingua:en
Pubblicazione: Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, A.C. 2011
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author Pablo Mejía-Reyes
author_facet Pablo Mejía-Reyes
contents Are the Mexican States and the United States Business Cycles Synchronized?. Evidence from the Manufacturing Production Pablo Mejía-Reyes Jeanett Campos-Chávez Economía y Finanzas sub Growth cycles Mexican states national business cycles international synchronization This paper analyses the degree of synchronization between the Mexican states and the US business cycles by using a growth cycle approach for the period 1997-2007. The business cycle indicators are obtained from seasonally-adjusted monthly manufacturing production. Our results confirm that the Mexican aggregate cycle is highly synchronized with the US business cycle. However, although specific Mexican state cycles are pro-cyclical with respect to the US business cycle, their synchronization is very heterogeneous. In particular, it is strong and robust only for the states of Baja California, Jalisco, Nuevo León and the Federal District, and at least moderate for the state of Mexico and Querétaro. The results are robust with respect to three different detrending methods. Synchronization may be explained by the high volumes of international trade carried out by foreign firms in the case of the central and traditionally industrialized states, and by the "maquila" production in the Northern bordering states. This synchronization may be explained by the vertical integration of the productive processes resulting from the internationalization of production of multinational firms. 2011 artículo científico 1665-2045 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=32319280003 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=323 Economía Mexicana. Nueva Época application/pdf Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, A.C. Economía Mexicana. Nueva Época (México) Num.1 Vol.XX
format Artículo científico
id redalyc_32319280003
institution Redalyc
language en
publishDate 2011
publisher Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, A.C.
spellingShingle Are the Mexican States and the United States Business Cycles Synchronized?. Evidence from the Manufacturing Production
Pablo Mejía-Reyes
Economía y Finanzas
sub
Growth cycles
Mexican states
national business cycles
international synchronization
Are the Mexican States and the United States Business Cycles Synchronized?. Evidence from the Manufacturing Production Pablo Mejía-Reyes Jeanett Campos-Chávez Economía y Finanzas sub Growth cycles Mexican states national business cycles international synchronization This paper analyses the degree of synchronization between the Mexican states and the US business cycles by using a growth cycle approach for the period 1997-2007. The business cycle indicators are obtained from seasonally-adjusted monthly manufacturing production. Our results confirm that the Mexican aggregate cycle is highly synchronized with the US business cycle. However, although specific Mexican state cycles are pro-cyclical with respect to the US business cycle, their synchronization is very heterogeneous. In particular, it is strong and robust only for the states of Baja California, Jalisco, Nuevo León and the Federal District, and at least moderate for the state of Mexico and Querétaro. The results are robust with respect to three different detrending methods. Synchronization may be explained by the high volumes of international trade carried out by foreign firms in the case of the central and traditionally industrialized states, and by the "maquila" production in the Northern bordering states. This synchronization may be explained by the vertical integration of the productive processes resulting from the internationalization of production of multinational firms. 2011 artículo científico 1665-2045 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=32319280003 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=323 Economía Mexicana. Nueva Época application/pdf Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, A.C. Economía Mexicana. Nueva Época (México) Num.1 Vol.XX
title Are the Mexican States and the United States Business Cycles Synchronized?. Evidence from the Manufacturing Production
topic Economía y Finanzas
sub
Growth cycles
Mexican states
national business cycles
international synchronization
url https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=32319280003