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Autore principale: Eduardo Pérez Molina
Natura: Artículo científico
Lingua:en
Pubblicazione: Universidad de Costa Rica 2024
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Accesso online:https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=44176067005
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/html/
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/44176067005.epub
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/movil
https://doi.org/10.5517/ri.v34i1.56618
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author Eduardo Pérez Molina
author_facet Eduardo Pérez Molina
contents UNCERTAINTY IN LAND VALUE MODELING OF THE SAN JOSÉ METROPOLITAN REGION, COSTA RICA Eduardo Pérez Molina Darío Vargas Aguilar Ingeniería land values uncertainty Extrapolation spatial factors sequential Gaussian simulation Land value patterns show very distinct spatial associations with accessibility to urban centralities and physical factors in a territory. However, predictions based on models of this structure can be highly uncertain, as the underlying data also may show clustering (thus allowing for better predictions in more densely sampled areas). An assessment of this uncertainty for land value extrapolations in the San José Metropolitan Region of Costa Rica is presented, via conditional Gaussian simulation, and the determinants of this uncertainty were explored, to find spatial strengths and weaknesses in the modeling efforts. The E-Type prediction from the conditional Gaussian simulation was found to marginally improve on ordinary kriging methods and it also provided explicit uncertainty patterns, which are the inverse of the land value prediction. The estimated uncertainty was found to decrease with characteristics that identify suitability for urban land use (and thus higher land values). 2024 artículo científico 1409-2441 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=44176067005 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/44176067005.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/movil https://doi.org/10.5517/ri.v34i1.56618 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=441 Ingeniería. Revista de la Universidad de Costa Rica application/pdf Universidad de Costa Rica Ingeniería. Revista de la Universidad de Costa Rica (Costa Rica) Num.1 Vol.34
format Artículo científico
id redalyc_44176067005
language en
publishDate 2024
publisher Universidad de Costa Rica
spellingShingle UNCERTAINTY IN LAND VALUE MODELING OF THE SAN JOSÉ METROPOLITAN REGION, COSTA RICA
Eduardo Pérez Molina
Ingeniería
land values
uncertainty
Extrapolation
spatial factors
sequential Gaussian simulation
UNCERTAINTY IN LAND VALUE MODELING OF THE SAN JOSÉ METROPOLITAN REGION, COSTA RICA Eduardo Pérez Molina Darío Vargas Aguilar Ingeniería land values uncertainty Extrapolation spatial factors sequential Gaussian simulation Land value patterns show very distinct spatial associations with accessibility to urban centralities and physical factors in a territory. However, predictions based on models of this structure can be highly uncertain, as the underlying data also may show clustering (thus allowing for better predictions in more densely sampled areas). An assessment of this uncertainty for land value extrapolations in the San José Metropolitan Region of Costa Rica is presented, via conditional Gaussian simulation, and the determinants of this uncertainty were explored, to find spatial strengths and weaknesses in the modeling efforts. The E-Type prediction from the conditional Gaussian simulation was found to marginally improve on ordinary kriging methods and it also provided explicit uncertainty patterns, which are the inverse of the land value prediction. The estimated uncertainty was found to decrease with characteristics that identify suitability for urban land use (and thus higher land values). 2024 artículo científico 1409-2441 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=44176067005 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/44176067005.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/movil https://doi.org/10.5517/ri.v34i1.56618 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=441 Ingeniería. Revista de la Universidad de Costa Rica application/pdf Universidad de Costa Rica Ingeniería. Revista de la Universidad de Costa Rica (Costa Rica) Num.1 Vol.34
title UNCERTAINTY IN LAND VALUE MODELING OF THE SAN JOSÉ METROPOLITAN REGION, COSTA RICA
topic Ingeniería
land values
uncertainty
Extrapolation
spatial factors
sequential Gaussian simulation
url https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=44176067005
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/html/
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/44176067005.epub
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/441/44176067005/movil
https://doi.org/10.5517/ri.v34i1.56618