Factors influencing the occurrence of traffic accidents in urban roads: A combined GIS-Empirical Bayesian approach

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Autor principal: Víctor Cantillo
Formato: Artículo científico
Lenguaje:en
Publicado: Universidad Nacional de Colombia 2016
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author Víctor Cantillo
author_facet Víctor Cantillo
contents Factors influencing the occurrence of traffic accidents in urban roads: A combined GIS-Empirical Bayesian approach Víctor Cantillo Patricia Garcés Luis Márquez Ingeniería accident prone sections Urban road accident empirical Bayesian approach Geographic Information System The problem of urban road accidents in Colombia is remarkable and has a significant magnitude. For this reason, a technical study of this important public health scourge is important. The quantitative techniques employed are usually highly aggregated and will not correctly identify the determinant variables of the problem. This paper examines the relationship between urban road accidents and variables related to road infrastructure, environment, traffic volumes and traffic control. Some accident-prone sections in the city of Cartagena (Colombia) are specifically identified by the empirical Bayesian method based on GIS. A total of 69 accident-prone sections were identified in the city. It was evident that the marginal effect on the accident rate for motorcycles is well above that for cars and buses. Empirical evidence also showed that the sections located in commercial areas tend to have higher frequency of accidents due to the high presence of pedestrians. 2016 artículo científico 0012-7353 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=49644128003 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=496 Dyna application/pdf Universidad Nacional de Colombia Dyna (Colombia) Num.195 Vol.83
format Artículo científico
id redalyc_49644128003
institution Redalyc
language en
publishDate 2016
publisher Universidad Nacional de Colombia
spellingShingle Factors influencing the occurrence of traffic accidents in urban roads: A combined GIS-Empirical Bayesian approach
Víctor Cantillo
Ingeniería
accident
prone sections
Urban road accident
empirical Bayesian approach
Geographic Information System
Factors influencing the occurrence of traffic accidents in urban roads: A combined GIS-Empirical Bayesian approach Víctor Cantillo Patricia Garcés Luis Márquez Ingeniería accident prone sections Urban road accident empirical Bayesian approach Geographic Information System The problem of urban road accidents in Colombia is remarkable and has a significant magnitude. For this reason, a technical study of this important public health scourge is important. The quantitative techniques employed are usually highly aggregated and will not correctly identify the determinant variables of the problem. This paper examines the relationship between urban road accidents and variables related to road infrastructure, environment, traffic volumes and traffic control. Some accident-prone sections in the city of Cartagena (Colombia) are specifically identified by the empirical Bayesian method based on GIS. A total of 69 accident-prone sections were identified in the city. It was evident that the marginal effect on the accident rate for motorcycles is well above that for cars and buses. Empirical evidence also showed that the sections located in commercial areas tend to have higher frequency of accidents due to the high presence of pedestrians. 2016 artículo científico 0012-7353 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=49644128003 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=496 Dyna application/pdf Universidad Nacional de Colombia Dyna (Colombia) Num.195 Vol.83
title Factors influencing the occurrence of traffic accidents in urban roads: A combined GIS-Empirical Bayesian approach
topic Ingeniería
accident
prone sections
Urban road accident
empirical Bayesian approach
Geographic Information System
url https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=49644128003