Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems
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| Format: | Artículo científico |
| Language: | en |
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Universidad Nacional de Colombia
2018
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| _version_ | 1876436208737845248 |
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| author | David Cardoza |
| author_facet | David Cardoza |
| contents | Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems David Cardoza Jorge M. Uribe Jairo Palacios Ingeniería risk measurement Photovoltaic systems structural breakpoints renewable energy sources horizontal solar radiation We propose a methodology for conducting simulations of operational scenarios for energy projects based on photovoltaic generation systems. It considers several documented facts about time series of weather, such as strong seasonality and structural breaks, which the previous literature has not explored in depth. Our proposal uses public weather time series, which are usually recorded by meteorological observatories. This makes our approach a suitable strategy for any firm interested in applying it to its own data and projects. This approach also allows the user to set an appropriate level of confidence for the scenarios depending on her interests. 2018 artículo científico 0012-7353 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=49657889012 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49657889012/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49657889012/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49657889012/49657889012.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49657889012/movil 10.15446/dyna.v85n205.62970 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=496 Dyna application/pdf Universidad Nacional de Colombia Dyna (Colombia) Num.205 Vol.85 |
| format | Artículo científico |
| id | redalyc_49657889012 |
| institution | Redalyc |
| language | en |
| publishDate | 2018 |
| publisher | Universidad Nacional de Colombia |
| spellingShingle | Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems David Cardoza Ingeniería risk measurement Photovoltaic systems structural breakpoints renewable energy sources horizontal solar radiation Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems David Cardoza Jorge M. Uribe Jairo Palacios Ingeniería risk measurement Photovoltaic systems structural breakpoints renewable energy sources horizontal solar radiation We propose a methodology for conducting simulations of operational scenarios for energy projects based on photovoltaic generation systems. It considers several documented facts about time series of weather, such as strong seasonality and structural breaks, which the previous literature has not explored in depth. Our proposal uses public weather time series, which are usually recorded by meteorological observatories. This makes our approach a suitable strategy for any firm interested in applying it to its own data and projects. This approach also allows the user to set an appropriate level of confidence for the scenarios depending on her interests. 2018 artículo científico 0012-7353 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=49657889012 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49657889012/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49657889012/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49657889012/49657889012.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49657889012/movil 10.15446/dyna.v85n205.62970 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=496 Dyna application/pdf Universidad Nacional de Colombia Dyna (Colombia) Num.205 Vol.85 |
| title | Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems |
| topic | Ingeniería risk measurement Photovoltaic systems structural breakpoints renewable energy sources horizontal solar radiation |
| url | https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=49657889012 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49657889012/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49657889012/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49657889012/49657889012.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49657889012/movil |