Using Artificial Neural Networks to predict monthly precipitation for the Cali river basin, Colombia

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Autor principal: Daniel David Montenegro-Murillo
Formato: Artículo científico
Lenguaje:en
Publicado: Universidad Nacional de Colombia 2019
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author Daniel David Montenegro-Murillo
author_facet Daniel David Montenegro-Murillo
contents Using Artificial Neural Networks to predict monthly precipitation for the Cali river basin, Colombia Daniel David Montenegro-Murillo Mayra Alejandra Pérez-Ortiz Viviana Vargas-Franco Ingeniería Downscaling climate change scenarios Artificial Neural Networks Studying future precipitation behavior in river basins is essential for adequate land-use planning within them, as this will help to reduce vulnerability and mitigate disasters. This study analyzed climate change scenarios in the Cali river basin using a monthly rainfall database from 35 stations and General Circulation Models (GCMs) from the CMIP5 data set. Statistical downscaling was performed on the data at RCP 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5 using Artificial Neural Networks. Subsequently, the changes that would take place by the year 2100 were analyzed, establishing that the different scenarios show that over the coming years, rainfall will move from the upper areas to the middle and lower areas of the river basin. 2019 artículo científico 0012-7353 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=49663345014 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49663345014/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49663345014/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49663345014/49663345014.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49663345014/movil 10.15446/dyna.v86n211.7607 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=496 Dyna application/pdf Universidad Nacional de Colombia Dyna (Colombia) Num.211 Vol.86
format Artículo científico
id redalyc_49663345014
institution Redalyc
language en
publishDate 2019
publisher Universidad Nacional de Colombia
spellingShingle Using Artificial Neural Networks to predict monthly precipitation for the Cali river basin, Colombia
Daniel David Montenegro-Murillo
Ingeniería
Downscaling
climate change scenarios
Artificial Neural Networks
Using Artificial Neural Networks to predict monthly precipitation for the Cali river basin, Colombia Daniel David Montenegro-Murillo Mayra Alejandra Pérez-Ortiz Viviana Vargas-Franco Ingeniería Downscaling climate change scenarios Artificial Neural Networks Studying future precipitation behavior in river basins is essential for adequate land-use planning within them, as this will help to reduce vulnerability and mitigate disasters. This study analyzed climate change scenarios in the Cali river basin using a monthly rainfall database from 35 stations and General Circulation Models (GCMs) from the CMIP5 data set. Statistical downscaling was performed on the data at RCP 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5 using Artificial Neural Networks. Subsequently, the changes that would take place by the year 2100 were analyzed, establishing that the different scenarios show that over the coming years, rainfall will move from the upper areas to the middle and lower areas of the river basin. 2019 artículo científico 0012-7353 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=49663345014 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49663345014/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49663345014/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49663345014/49663345014.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49663345014/movil 10.15446/dyna.v86n211.7607 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=496 Dyna application/pdf Universidad Nacional de Colombia Dyna (Colombia) Num.211 Vol.86
title Using Artificial Neural Networks to predict monthly precipitation for the Cali river basin, Colombia
topic Ingeniería
Downscaling
climate change scenarios
Artificial Neural Networks
url https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=49663345014
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49663345014/
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49663345014/html/
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49663345014/49663345014.epub
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/496/49663345014/movil