Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Model for Spatial and Temporal Prediction of Drought Events in the Department of Magdalena, Colombia

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Main Author: Daissy Milenys Herrera Posada
Format: Artículo científico
Language:en
Published: Corporación Universitaria de la Costa 2022
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author Daissy Milenys Herrera Posada
author_facet Daissy Milenys Herrera Posada
contents Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Model for Spatial and Temporal Prediction of Drought Events in the Department of Magdalena, Colombia Daissy Milenys Herrera Posada Edier Aristizábal Ingeniería random forest machine learning satellite imagery Drought forecasting Google Earth Engine Introduction— Drought is one of the most critical hydrometeorological phenomenon in terms of its impacts on society. Although Colombia is a tropical country, there are areas of the territory which have periods of drought, and this causes significant economic damage. Objective— Due to recent advances in terms of the spatial and temporal resolutions of remote sensing, and artificial intelligence techniques, it is possible to develop automatic learning models supported by historical information. Methodology— In this study, a Random Forest (RF) and Bagged Decision Tree Classifier (DTC) model was built to perform spatial and temporal drought prediction in the department of Magdalena using the following features: Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), land surface temperature (LST), precipitation, Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), Normalized Multiband Drought Index (NMDI), evapotranspiration (ET), surface soil moisture (SSM), subsurface soil moisture (SUSM), Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI), Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), and Oceanic Niño Index (ONI). Results— For labelling, which allows one to train and evaluate the model, the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was used to identify drought events. Conclusions— The implementation of the developed model can allow governmental entities to take actions to mitigate impacts generated by recurring droughts in their territories. 2022 artículo científico 0122-6517 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=497779342003 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=4977 INGE CUC application/pdf Corporación Universitaria de la Costa INGE CUC (Colombia) Num.2 Vol.18
format Artículo científico
id redalyc_497779342003
institution Redalyc
language en
publishDate 2022
publisher Corporación Universitaria de la Costa
spellingShingle Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Model for Spatial and Temporal Prediction of Drought Events in the Department of Magdalena, Colombia
Daissy Milenys Herrera Posada
Ingeniería
random forest
machine learning
satellite imagery
Drought forecasting
Google Earth Engine
Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Model for Spatial and Temporal Prediction of Drought Events in the Department of Magdalena, Colombia Daissy Milenys Herrera Posada Edier Aristizábal Ingeniería random forest machine learning satellite imagery Drought forecasting Google Earth Engine Introduction— Drought is one of the most critical hydrometeorological phenomenon in terms of its impacts on society. Although Colombia is a tropical country, there are areas of the territory which have periods of drought, and this causes significant economic damage. Objective— Due to recent advances in terms of the spatial and temporal resolutions of remote sensing, and artificial intelligence techniques, it is possible to develop automatic learning models supported by historical information. Methodology— In this study, a Random Forest (RF) and Bagged Decision Tree Classifier (DTC) model was built to perform spatial and temporal drought prediction in the department of Magdalena using the following features: Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), land surface temperature (LST), precipitation, Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), Normalized Multiband Drought Index (NMDI), evapotranspiration (ET), surface soil moisture (SSM), subsurface soil moisture (SUSM), Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI), Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), and Oceanic Niño Index (ONI). Results— For labelling, which allows one to train and evaluate the model, the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was used to identify drought events. Conclusions— The implementation of the developed model can allow governmental entities to take actions to mitigate impacts generated by recurring droughts in their territories. 2022 artículo científico 0122-6517 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=497779342003 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=4977 INGE CUC application/pdf Corporación Universitaria de la Costa INGE CUC (Colombia) Num.2 Vol.18
title Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Model for Spatial and Temporal Prediction of Drought Events in the Department of Magdalena, Colombia
topic Ingeniería
random forest
machine learning
satellite imagery
Drought forecasting
Google Earth Engine
url https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=497779342003