Seven decades of climate change across Mexico

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Main Author: Guillermo N. Murray-Tortarolo
Format: Artículo científico
Language:en
Published: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México 2021
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author Guillermo N. Murray-Tortarolo
author_facet Guillermo N. Murray-Tortarolo
contents Seven decades of climate change across Mexico Guillermo N. Murray-Tortarolo Biología Drought flooding extreme weather events regional climate change Due to its geographical location, Mexico is one of the most vulnerable countries to climate change. However, we currently ignore the exact magnitude and particularities of past climate change in the Mexican territory and are missing a country-level spatially explicit analysis based on observed data. To fill this gap, I analyzed how temperature, precipitation and the water balance of Mexico changed over 1951-2017 at interannual and seasonal scales. My results show a clear national increment in temperature (+0.71 ºC) but no modification in annual mean precipitation. At the seasonal scale, the wet season (June-November) had higher rainfall (+31 mm) and no change was detectable on the dry season (December-May). However, when the full water balance was seasonally accounted for (precipitation minus potential evapotranspiration), the trend resulted in a wetter wet season and a much drier dry season across the country. Regionally, seasonal changes in water balance were larger in the area surrounding the Gulf of Mexico and positive in the Yucatan Peninsula and the central highlands. My results help explaining the recent increase in drought, storms and intense rainfall across Mexico and suggest even more extreme seasonal weather in the future if climate change exacerbates. 2021 otro 0187-6236 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=56572300007 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/565/56572300007/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/565/56572300007/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/565/56572300007/56572300007.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/565/56572300007/movil 10.20937/ATM.52803 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=565 Atmósfera application/pdf Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México Atmósfera (México) Num.2 Vol.34
format Artículo científico
id redalyc_56572300007
institution Redalyc
language en
publishDate 2021
publisher Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
spellingShingle Seven decades of climate change across Mexico
Guillermo N. Murray-Tortarolo
Biología
Drought
flooding
extreme weather events
regional climate change
Seven decades of climate change across Mexico Guillermo N. Murray-Tortarolo Biología Drought flooding extreme weather events regional climate change Due to its geographical location, Mexico is one of the most vulnerable countries to climate change. However, we currently ignore the exact magnitude and particularities of past climate change in the Mexican territory and are missing a country-level spatially explicit analysis based on observed data. To fill this gap, I analyzed how temperature, precipitation and the water balance of Mexico changed over 1951-2017 at interannual and seasonal scales. My results show a clear national increment in temperature (+0.71 ºC) but no modification in annual mean precipitation. At the seasonal scale, the wet season (June-November) had higher rainfall (+31 mm) and no change was detectable on the dry season (December-May). However, when the full water balance was seasonally accounted for (precipitation minus potential evapotranspiration), the trend resulted in a wetter wet season and a much drier dry season across the country. Regionally, seasonal changes in water balance were larger in the area surrounding the Gulf of Mexico and positive in the Yucatan Peninsula and the central highlands. My results help explaining the recent increase in drought, storms and intense rainfall across Mexico and suggest even more extreme seasonal weather in the future if climate change exacerbates. 2021 otro 0187-6236 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=56572300007 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/565/56572300007/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/565/56572300007/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/565/56572300007/56572300007.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/565/56572300007/movil 10.20937/ATM.52803 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=565 Atmósfera application/pdf Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México Atmósfera (México) Num.2 Vol.34
title Seven decades of climate change across Mexico
topic Biología
Drought
flooding
extreme weather events
regional climate change
url https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=56572300007
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/565/56572300007/
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/565/56572300007/html/
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/565/56572300007/56572300007.epub
https://www.redalyc.org/journal/565/56572300007/movil