THE INFLUENCE OF CONSUMPTION AND INVESTMENT ON UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY: A SVAR APPROACH

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Main Author: Mustafa Ozan Yıldırım
Format: Artículo científico
Language:en
Published: Vilniaus Universitetas 2017
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author Mustafa Ozan Yıldırım
author_facet Mustafa Ozan Yıldırım
contents THE INFLUENCE OF CONSUMPTION AND INVESTMENT ON UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY: A SVAR APPROACH Mustafa Ozan Yıldırım Ahmet Eren Yıldırım Economía y Finanzas Investment Consumption Unemployment Structural VAR The aim of this paper is to examine the dynamic relationship between consumption, investment and unemployment in Turkey using structural VAR (SVAR) models. The four different SVAR models are estimated by using quarterly observations of dynamic and contemporaneous relations for the mentioned macroeconomic variables, covering the 2005-2016 period for the Turkish economy. Four different unemployment rates are used in the study to represent the unemployment rate in the Turkish economy, which are overall, young (15-24 age), male and female unemployment rates. Impulse response functions and variance decomposition results obtained from the study show that consumption shocks have a significant impact on both the unemployment rate and the investments, in support of the basic hypothesis that is argued in the study. Investment shocks also have a similar effect on unemployment rates and positive investment shocks have reduced unemployment rates. Moreover, another result obtained in all four models suggests that a shock in consumption increases investment through the accelerator effect. 2017 artículo científico 2424-6166 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=692273661005 10.15388/Ekon.2017.1.10665 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=6922 Ekonomika application/pdf Vilniaus Universitetas Ekonomika (Lituania) Num.1 Vol.96
format Artículo científico
id redalyc_692273661005
institution Redalyc
language en
publishDate 2017
publisher Vilniaus Universitetas
spellingShingle THE INFLUENCE OF CONSUMPTION AND INVESTMENT ON UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY: A SVAR APPROACH
Mustafa Ozan Yıldırım
Economía y Finanzas
Investment
Consumption
Unemployment
Structural VAR
THE INFLUENCE OF CONSUMPTION AND INVESTMENT ON UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY: A SVAR APPROACH Mustafa Ozan Yıldırım Ahmet Eren Yıldırım Economía y Finanzas Investment Consumption Unemployment Structural VAR The aim of this paper is to examine the dynamic relationship between consumption, investment and unemployment in Turkey using structural VAR (SVAR) models. The four different SVAR models are estimated by using quarterly observations of dynamic and contemporaneous relations for the mentioned macroeconomic variables, covering the 2005-2016 period for the Turkish economy. Four different unemployment rates are used in the study to represent the unemployment rate in the Turkish economy, which are overall, young (15-24 age), male and female unemployment rates. Impulse response functions and variance decomposition results obtained from the study show that consumption shocks have a significant impact on both the unemployment rate and the investments, in support of the basic hypothesis that is argued in the study. Investment shocks also have a similar effect on unemployment rates and positive investment shocks have reduced unemployment rates. Moreover, another result obtained in all four models suggests that a shock in consumption increases investment through the accelerator effect. 2017 artículo científico 2424-6166 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=692273661005 10.15388/Ekon.2017.1.10665 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=6922 Ekonomika application/pdf Vilniaus Universitetas Ekonomika (Lituania) Num.1 Vol.96
title THE INFLUENCE OF CONSUMPTION AND INVESTMENT ON UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY: A SVAR APPROACH
topic Economía y Finanzas
Investment
Consumption
Unemployment
Structural VAR
url https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=692273661005