Transmission dynamic and backward bifurcation of Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus
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| Format: | Artículo científico |
| Sprache: | en |
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Vilniaus Universitetas
2022
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| _version_ | 1876456099049111552 |
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| author | Bibi Fatima |
| author_facet | Bibi Fatima |
| contents | Transmission dynamic and backward bifurcation of Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus Bibi Fatima Gul Zaman Fahd Jarad Matemáticas Epidemic model stability analysis reproductive number backward bifurcation numerical simulation Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) remains an emerging disease threat with regular human cases on the Arabian Peninsula driven by recurring camels to human transmission events. In this paper, we present a new deterministic model for the transmission dynamics of (MERS-CoV). In order to do this, we develop a model formulation and analyze the stability of the proposed model. The stability conditions are obtained in term of R0 , we find those conditions for which the model become stable. We discuss basic reproductive number R0 along with sensitivity analysis to show the impact of every epidemic parameter. We show that the proposed model exhibits the phenomena of backward bifurcation. Finally, we show the numerical simulation of our proposed model for supporting our analytical work. The aim of this work is to show via mathematical model the transmission of MERS-CoV between humans and camels, which are suspected to be the primary source of infection. 2022 artículo científico 1392-5113 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=694173132004 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/6941/694173132004/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/6941/694173132004/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/6941/694173132004/694173132004.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/6941/694173132004/movil en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=6941 Nonlinear Analysis: Modelling and Control application/pdf Vilniaus Universitetas Nonlinear Analysis: Modelling and Control (Lituania) Num.1 Vol.27 |
| format | Artículo científico |
| id | redalyc_694173132004 |
| institution | Redalyc |
| language | en |
| publishDate | 2022 |
| publisher | Vilniaus Universitetas |
| spellingShingle | Transmission dynamic and backward bifurcation of Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus Bibi Fatima Matemáticas Epidemic model stability analysis reproductive number backward bifurcation numerical simulation Transmission dynamic and backward bifurcation of Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus Bibi Fatima Gul Zaman Fahd Jarad Matemáticas Epidemic model stability analysis reproductive number backward bifurcation numerical simulation Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) remains an emerging disease threat with regular human cases on the Arabian Peninsula driven by recurring camels to human transmission events. In this paper, we present a new deterministic model for the transmission dynamics of (MERS-CoV). In order to do this, we develop a model formulation and analyze the stability of the proposed model. The stability conditions are obtained in term of R0 , we find those conditions for which the model become stable. We discuss basic reproductive number R0 along with sensitivity analysis to show the impact of every epidemic parameter. We show that the proposed model exhibits the phenomena of backward bifurcation. Finally, we show the numerical simulation of our proposed model for supporting our analytical work. The aim of this work is to show via mathematical model the transmission of MERS-CoV between humans and camels, which are suspected to be the primary source of infection. 2022 artículo científico 1392-5113 https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=694173132004 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/6941/694173132004/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/6941/694173132004/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/6941/694173132004/694173132004.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/6941/694173132004/movil en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=6941 Nonlinear Analysis: Modelling and Control application/pdf Vilniaus Universitetas Nonlinear Analysis: Modelling and Control (Lituania) Num.1 Vol.27 |
| title | Transmission dynamic and backward bifurcation of Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus |
| topic | Matemáticas Epidemic model stability analysis reproductive number backward bifurcation numerical simulation |
| url | https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=694173132004 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/6941/694173132004/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/6941/694173132004/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/6941/694173132004/694173132004.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/6941/694173132004/movil |