Bayesian Model Selection to Investigate Meaningful Spatial Scales

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Main Authors: Andrew Hoegh, Kathryn M. Irvine, Katharine M. Banner, Luz de Wit, Brian Reichert
Format: Artículo Open Access
Published: Wiley 2026
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author Andrew Hoegh
Kathryn M. Irvine
Katharine M. Banner
Luz de Wit
Brian Reichert
author_facet Andrew Hoegh
Kathryn M. Irvine
Katharine M. Banner
Luz de Wit
Brian Reichert
Andrew Hoegh
Kathryn M. Irvine
Katharine M. Banner
Luz de Wit
Brian Reichert
collection Wiley Open Access
contents Bayesian Model Selection to Investigate Meaningful Spatial Scales Andrew Hoegh Kathryn M. Irvine Katharine M. Banner Luz de Wit Brian Reichert Ecology and Evolution ABSTRACT Ecologists and other statistical practitioners with access to high‐resolution spatial data often lack guidance on best approaches for discerning meaningful spatial scales for environmental covariates which is necessary when spatial factors influence environmental processes. Recently developed methods have attempted to automate investigating spatial scales for covariates by evaluating models for which potential explanatory variables are derived from circular extents of increasing size centered at survey locations. However, these methods make a strong assumption on the inclusion of the covariate and do not help discern whether a covariate should be included in the model. We present an approach that utilizes researcher guidance to create informative priors on the model space that, along with parallelizable Reversible Jump Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques, enables efficient estimation of posterior model probabilities to assist with the choice of meaningful spatial scales for environmental covariates. 10.1002/ece3.73271 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
doi_str_mv 10.1002/ece3.73271
format Artículo Open Access
id wiley_oa_10_1002_ece3_73271
institution Wiley Open Access
license_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
publishDate 2026
publisher Wiley
record_format wiley_oa
spellingShingle Bayesian Model Selection to Investigate Meaningful Spatial Scales
Andrew Hoegh
Kathryn M. Irvine
Katharine M. Banner
Luz de Wit
Brian Reichert
Ecology and Evolution
Bayesian Model Selection to Investigate Meaningful Spatial Scales Andrew Hoegh Kathryn M. Irvine Katharine M. Banner Luz de Wit Brian Reichert Ecology and Evolution ABSTRACT Ecologists and other statistical practitioners with access to high‐resolution spatial data often lack guidance on best approaches for discerning meaningful spatial scales for environmental covariates which is necessary when spatial factors influence environmental processes. Recently developed methods have attempted to automate investigating spatial scales for covariates by evaluating models for which potential explanatory variables are derived from circular extents of increasing size centered at survey locations. However, these methods make a strong assumption on the inclusion of the covariate and do not help discern whether a covariate should be included in the model. We present an approach that utilizes researcher guidance to create informative priors on the model space that, along with parallelizable Reversible Jump Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques, enables efficient estimation of posterior model probabilities to assist with the choice of meaningful spatial scales for environmental covariates. 10.1002/ece3.73271 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
title Bayesian Model Selection to Investigate Meaningful Spatial Scales
topic Ecology and Evolution
url https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ece3.73271