Futures Turnover Waves

Fuente: Wiley Open Access
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Autori principali: Ekaterina E. Emm, Gerald D. Gay, Han Ma, Honglin Ren
Natura: Artículo Open Access
Pubblicazione: Wiley 2025
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author Ekaterina E. Emm
Gerald D. Gay
Han Ma
Honglin Ren
author_facet Ekaterina E. Emm
Gerald D. Gay
Han Ma
Honglin Ren
Ekaterina E. Emm
Gerald D. Gay
Han Ma
Honglin Ren
collection Wiley Open Access
contents Futures Turnover Waves Ekaterina E. Emm Gerald D. Gay Han Ma Honglin Ren Journal of Futures Markets ABSTRACTUsing trade information over the 1993–2023 period from essentially the universe of futures exchanges spanning Asia, Europe, Latin America, and North America, we identify and examine periods of clustering or correlated occurrence of unexpected spikes in futures contract turnover, which we refer to as “turnover waves.” We investigate their frequency, distributional characteristics, and determinants along with the extent of their common occurrence both within and across various asset classes and geographic regions. We find that turnover waves are most frequently observed and are of the longest duration in Asia and in the energy asset class. We further find evidence of the common occurrence of waves across asset classes, notably within Asia, Europe, and Latin America. Across geographic regions, we find that concurrence is highest in the interest rate asset class. Finally, the initiation of waves is associated with increases in market policy uncertainty and asset class‐level volatility. 10.1002/fut.70021 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
doi_str_mv 10.1002/fut.70021
format Artículo Open Access
id wiley_oa_10_1002_fut_70021
institution Wiley Open Access
license_str_mv http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
publishDate 2025
publisher Wiley
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spellingShingle Futures Turnover Waves
Ekaterina E. Emm
Gerald D. Gay
Han Ma
Honglin Ren
Journal of Futures Markets
Futures Turnover Waves Ekaterina E. Emm Gerald D. Gay Han Ma Honglin Ren Journal of Futures Markets ABSTRACTUsing trade information over the 1993–2023 period from essentially the universe of futures exchanges spanning Asia, Europe, Latin America, and North America, we identify and examine periods of clustering or correlated occurrence of unexpected spikes in futures contract turnover, which we refer to as “turnover waves.” We investigate their frequency, distributional characteristics, and determinants along with the extent of their common occurrence both within and across various asset classes and geographic regions. We find that turnover waves are most frequently observed and are of the longest duration in Asia and in the energy asset class. We further find evidence of the common occurrence of waves across asset classes, notably within Asia, Europe, and Latin America. Across geographic regions, we find that concurrence is highest in the interest rate asset class. Finally, the initiation of waves is associated with increases in market policy uncertainty and asset class‐level volatility. 10.1002/fut.70021 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
title Futures Turnover Waves
topic Journal of Futures Markets
url https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/fut.70021