“Cultural Inflation”: A Framework for Sustainable Tourism Economies

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Autores principales: Md Salamun Rashidin, Sara Javed
Formato: Artículo Open Access
Publicado: Wiley 2026
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author Md Salamun Rashidin
Sara Javed
author_facet Md Salamun Rashidin
Sara Javed
Md Salamun Rashidin
Sara Javed
collection Wiley Open Access
contents “Cultural Inflation”: A Framework for Sustainable Tourism Economies Md Salamun Rashidin Sara Javed Sustainable Development ABSTRACT This study develops the concept of Cultural Inflation —a tourism‐driven rise in the cost of living for residents that outpaces their income in heritage destinations—and examines whether cultural reinvestment can restore the resident's welfare. Using panel data from 48 Sardinian municipalities (2010–2025), we estimate how the intensity of tourism and short‐term rental (STR) density affect housing, food, and transport prices through fixed‐effects models and project outcomes to 2035 using a Dynamic Cultural Inflation Simulation. The results show that tourism operates as a localized demand‐pull inflation driver (β 1  = 0.43 for tourism intensity; β 2  = 0.31 for STR density). Under Business‐as‐Usual, price pressures intensify and residents' welfare declines. Under a Cultural Sustainability Scenario—combining moderate growth, STR control, and sustained reinvestment—costs stabilize and welfare improves. Dynamic simulations indicate that heritage reinvestment reduces cumulative tourism‐induced price growth by approximately 40% relative to Business‐as‐Usual. These findings reconceptualize tourism as a cultural‐economic distortion system rather than a linear growth engine and introduce the Net Cultural Balance (NCB) as a welfare‐based policy metric for aligning the growth in tourism with residents' well‐being and cultural vitality. 10.1002/sd.70873 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
doi_str_mv 10.1002/sd.70873
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license_str_mv http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
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spellingShingle “Cultural Inflation”: A Framework for Sustainable Tourism Economies
Md Salamun Rashidin
Sara Javed
Sustainable Development
“Cultural Inflation”: A Framework for Sustainable Tourism Economies Md Salamun Rashidin Sara Javed Sustainable Development ABSTRACT This study develops the concept of Cultural Inflation —a tourism‐driven rise in the cost of living for residents that outpaces their income in heritage destinations—and examines whether cultural reinvestment can restore the resident's welfare. Using panel data from 48 Sardinian municipalities (2010–2025), we estimate how the intensity of tourism and short‐term rental (STR) density affect housing, food, and transport prices through fixed‐effects models and project outcomes to 2035 using a Dynamic Cultural Inflation Simulation. The results show that tourism operates as a localized demand‐pull inflation driver (β 1  = 0.43 for tourism intensity; β 2  = 0.31 for STR density). Under Business‐as‐Usual, price pressures intensify and residents' welfare declines. Under a Cultural Sustainability Scenario—combining moderate growth, STR control, and sustained reinvestment—costs stabilize and welfare improves. Dynamic simulations indicate that heritage reinvestment reduces cumulative tourism‐induced price growth by approximately 40% relative to Business‐as‐Usual. These findings reconceptualize tourism as a cultural‐economic distortion system rather than a linear growth engine and introduce the Net Cultural Balance (NCB) as a welfare‐based policy metric for aligning the growth in tourism with residents' well‐being and cultural vitality. 10.1002/sd.70873 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
title “Cultural Inflation”: A Framework for Sustainable Tourism Economies
topic Sustainable Development
url https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/sd.70873