Sensitivity analysis with iterative outlier detection for systematic reviews and meta‐analyses

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Main Authors: Zhuo Meng, Jingshen Wang, Lifeng Lin, Chong Wu
Format: Artículo Open Access
Published: Wiley 2024
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author Zhuo Meng
Jingshen Wang
Lifeng Lin
Chong Wu
author_facet Zhuo Meng
Jingshen Wang
Lifeng Lin
Chong Wu
Zhuo Meng
Jingshen Wang
Lifeng Lin
Chong Wu
collection Wiley Open Access
contents Sensitivity analysis with iterative outlier detection for systematic reviews and meta‐analyses Zhuo Meng Jingshen Wang Lifeng Lin Chong Wu Statistics in Medicine Meta‐analysis is a widely used tool for synthesizing results from multiple studies. The collected studies are deemed heterogeneous when they do not share a common underlying effect size; thus, the factors attributable to the heterogeneity need to be carefully considered. A critical problem in meta‐analyses and systematic reviews is that outlying studies are frequently included, which can lead to invalid conclusions and affect the robustness of decision‐making. Outliers may be caused by several factors such as study selection criteria, low study quality, small‐study effects, and so on. Although outlier detection is well‐studied in the statistical community, limited attention has been paid to meta‐analysis. The conventional outlier detection method in meta‐analysis is based on a leave‐one‐study‐out procedure. However, when calculating a potentially outlying study's deviation, other outliers could substantially impact its result. This article proposes an iterative method to detect potential outliers, which reduces such an impact that could confound the detection. Furthermore, we adopt bagging to provide valid inference for sensitivity analyses of excluding outliers. Based on simulation studies, the proposed iterative method yields smaller bias and heterogeneity after performing a sensitivity analysis to remove the identified outliers. It also provides higher accuracy on outlier detection. Two case studies are used to illustrate the proposed method's real‐world performance. 10.1002/sim.10008 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
doi_str_mv 10.1002/sim.10008
format Artículo Open Access
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institution Wiley Open Access
license_str_mv http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
publishDate 2024
publisher Wiley
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spellingShingle Sensitivity analysis with iterative outlier detection for systematic reviews and meta‐analyses
Zhuo Meng
Jingshen Wang
Lifeng Lin
Chong Wu
Statistics in Medicine
Sensitivity analysis with iterative outlier detection for systematic reviews and meta‐analyses Zhuo Meng Jingshen Wang Lifeng Lin Chong Wu Statistics in Medicine Meta‐analysis is a widely used tool for synthesizing results from multiple studies. The collected studies are deemed heterogeneous when they do not share a common underlying effect size; thus, the factors attributable to the heterogeneity need to be carefully considered. A critical problem in meta‐analyses and systematic reviews is that outlying studies are frequently included, which can lead to invalid conclusions and affect the robustness of decision‐making. Outliers may be caused by several factors such as study selection criteria, low study quality, small‐study effects, and so on. Although outlier detection is well‐studied in the statistical community, limited attention has been paid to meta‐analysis. The conventional outlier detection method in meta‐analysis is based on a leave‐one‐study‐out procedure. However, when calculating a potentially outlying study's deviation, other outliers could substantially impact its result. This article proposes an iterative method to detect potential outliers, which reduces such an impact that could confound the detection. Furthermore, we adopt bagging to provide valid inference for sensitivity analyses of excluding outliers. Based on simulation studies, the proposed iterative method yields smaller bias and heterogeneity after performing a sensitivity analysis to remove the identified outliers. It also provides higher accuracy on outlier detection. Two case studies are used to illustrate the proposed method's real‐world performance. 10.1002/sim.10008 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
title Sensitivity analysis with iterative outlier detection for systematic reviews and meta‐analyses
topic Statistics in Medicine
url https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/sim.10008