BayTetra : A Bayesian Semiparametric Approach for Testing Trajectory Differences

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Autores principales: Wei Jin, Qiuxin Gao, Yanxun Xu
Formato: Artículo Open Access
Publicado: Wiley 2025
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author Wei Jin
Qiuxin Gao
Yanxun Xu
author_facet Wei Jin
Qiuxin Gao
Yanxun Xu
Wei Jin
Qiuxin Gao
Yanxun Xu
collection Wiley Open Access
contents BayTetra : A Bayesian Semiparametric Approach for Testing Trajectory Differences Wei Jin Qiuxin Gao Yanxun Xu Statistics in Medicine Abstract Testing differences in longitudinal trajectories among distinct groups of population is an important task in many biomedical applications. Motivated by an application in Alzheimer's disease, we develop BayTetra, an innovative Bayesian semiparametric approach for estimating and testing group differences in multivariate longitudinal trajectories. BayTetra jointly models multivariate longitudinal data by directly accounting for correlations among different responses, and uses a semiparametric framework based on B‐splines to capture the non‐linear trajectories with great flexibility. To avoid overfitting, BayTetra encourages parsimonious trajectory estimation by imposing penalties on the smoothness of the spline functions. The proposed method converts the challenging task of hypothesis testing for longitudinal trajectories into a more manageable equivalent form based on hypothesis testing for spline coefficients. More importantly, by leveraging posterior inference with natural uncertainty quantification, our Bayesian method offers a more robust and straightforward hypothesis testing procedure than frequentist methods. Extensive simulations demonstrate BayTetra's superior performance over alternatives. Applications to the Biomarkers of Cognitive Decline Among Normal Individuals (BIOCARD) study yield interpretable and valuable clinical insights. A major contribution of this paper is that we have developed an R package BayTetra , which implements the proposed Bayesian semiparametric approach and is the first publicly available software for hypothesis testing on trajectory differences based on a flexible modeling framework. 10.1002/sim.70071 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#am
doi_str_mv 10.1002/sim.70071
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spellingShingle BayTetra : A Bayesian Semiparametric Approach for Testing Trajectory Differences
Wei Jin
Qiuxin Gao
Yanxun Xu
Statistics in Medicine
BayTetra : A Bayesian Semiparametric Approach for Testing Trajectory Differences Wei Jin Qiuxin Gao Yanxun Xu Statistics in Medicine Abstract Testing differences in longitudinal trajectories among distinct groups of population is an important task in many biomedical applications. Motivated by an application in Alzheimer's disease, we develop BayTetra, an innovative Bayesian semiparametric approach for estimating and testing group differences in multivariate longitudinal trajectories. BayTetra jointly models multivariate longitudinal data by directly accounting for correlations among different responses, and uses a semiparametric framework based on B‐splines to capture the non‐linear trajectories with great flexibility. To avoid overfitting, BayTetra encourages parsimonious trajectory estimation by imposing penalties on the smoothness of the spline functions. The proposed method converts the challenging task of hypothesis testing for longitudinal trajectories into a more manageable equivalent form based on hypothesis testing for spline coefficients. More importantly, by leveraging posterior inference with natural uncertainty quantification, our Bayesian method offers a more robust and straightforward hypothesis testing procedure than frequentist methods. Extensive simulations demonstrate BayTetra's superior performance over alternatives. Applications to the Biomarkers of Cognitive Decline Among Normal Individuals (BIOCARD) study yield interpretable and valuable clinical insights. A major contribution of this paper is that we have developed an R package BayTetra , which implements the proposed Bayesian semiparametric approach and is the first publicly available software for hypothesis testing on trajectory differences based on a flexible modeling framework. 10.1002/sim.70071 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#am
title BayTetra : A Bayesian Semiparametric Approach for Testing Trajectory Differences
topic Statistics in Medicine
url https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/sim.70071