Clinical Trial Simulation: Planning With the OCTAVE Framework, Implementation and Validation Principles

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Autori principali: Kim May Lee, Babak Choodari‐Oskooei, Michael J. Grayling, Peter Jacko, Peter K. Kimani, Aritra Mukherjee, Philip Pallmann, Tom Parke, David S. Robertson, Ziyan Wang, Christina Yap, Thomas Jaki
Natura: Artículo Open Access
Pubblicazione: Wiley 2026
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author Kim May Lee
Babak Choodari‐Oskooei
Michael J. Grayling
Peter Jacko
Peter K. Kimani
Aritra Mukherjee
Philip Pallmann
Tom Parke
David S. Robertson
Ziyan Wang
Christina Yap
Thomas Jaki
author_facet Kim May Lee
Babak Choodari‐Oskooei
Michael J. Grayling
Peter Jacko
Peter K. Kimani
Aritra Mukherjee
Philip Pallmann
Tom Parke
David S. Robertson
Ziyan Wang
Christina Yap
Thomas Jaki
Kim May Lee
Babak Choodari‐Oskooei
Michael J. Grayling
Peter Jacko
Peter K. Kimani
Aritra Mukherjee
Philip Pallmann
Tom Parke
David S. Robertson
Ziyan Wang
Christina Yap
Thomas Jaki
collection Wiley Open Access
contents Clinical Trial Simulation: Planning With the OCTAVE Framework, Implementation and Validation Principles Kim May Lee Babak Choodari‐Oskooei Michael J. Grayling Peter Jacko Peter K. Kimani Aritra Mukherjee Philip Pallmann Tom Parke David S. Robertson Ziyan Wang Christina Yap Thomas Jaki Statistics in Medicine ABSTRACT The adoption of complex innovative clinical trial designs has steadily increased in recent years. These are trial designs that have one or more unconventional features—often resulting in multiple stages—with the goal of improving on conventional single‐stage, fixed‐setting designs in terms of efficiency, for example, by reducing the required sample size or the time to establish findings about an intervention. The motivation for these designs may not be difficult to follow, but their set‐up and implementation is usually more challenging. Statistical properties of these designs can also be difficult to compute. Clinical trial simulation (CTS), which uses software to generate artificial data for learning, can be conducted to identify the (optimal) setting of a clinical trial, evaluate the design's statistical properties under some hypothetical scenarios for sensitivity analysis, and compare different design set‐ups and data analysis strategies, all of which contribute to a better understanding of the value of unconventional features before implementing the design in an actual clinical trial. Existing literature on simulation primarily focuses on the evaluation of statistical analysis methods, with less attention on the detailed specification and planning of CTS. This tutorial presents a new framework, called OCTAVE, for outlining the details of CTS, provides practical recommendations for their implementation, and addresses key computational considerations. The target audience is trial statisticians who are involved in designing and analyzing clinical trials. This tutorial covers a range of complex innovative designs, without the expectation that readers are familiar with the mentioned examples. 10.1002/sim.70449 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
doi_str_mv 10.1002/sim.70449
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spellingShingle Clinical Trial Simulation: Planning With the OCTAVE Framework, Implementation and Validation Principles
Kim May Lee
Babak Choodari‐Oskooei
Michael J. Grayling
Peter Jacko
Peter K. Kimani
Aritra Mukherjee
Philip Pallmann
Tom Parke
David S. Robertson
Ziyan Wang
Christina Yap
Thomas Jaki
Statistics in Medicine
Clinical Trial Simulation: Planning With the OCTAVE Framework, Implementation and Validation Principles Kim May Lee Babak Choodari‐Oskooei Michael J. Grayling Peter Jacko Peter K. Kimani Aritra Mukherjee Philip Pallmann Tom Parke David S. Robertson Ziyan Wang Christina Yap Thomas Jaki Statistics in Medicine ABSTRACT The adoption of complex innovative clinical trial designs has steadily increased in recent years. These are trial designs that have one or more unconventional features—often resulting in multiple stages—with the goal of improving on conventional single‐stage, fixed‐setting designs in terms of efficiency, for example, by reducing the required sample size or the time to establish findings about an intervention. The motivation for these designs may not be difficult to follow, but their set‐up and implementation is usually more challenging. Statistical properties of these designs can also be difficult to compute. Clinical trial simulation (CTS), which uses software to generate artificial data for learning, can be conducted to identify the (optimal) setting of a clinical trial, evaluate the design's statistical properties under some hypothetical scenarios for sensitivity analysis, and compare different design set‐ups and data analysis strategies, all of which contribute to a better understanding of the value of unconventional features before implementing the design in an actual clinical trial. Existing literature on simulation primarily focuses on the evaluation of statistical analysis methods, with less attention on the detailed specification and planning of CTS. This tutorial presents a new framework, called OCTAVE, for outlining the details of CTS, provides practical recommendations for their implementation, and addresses key computational considerations. The target audience is trial statisticians who are involved in designing and analyzing clinical trials. This tutorial covers a range of complex innovative designs, without the expectation that readers are familiar with the mentioned examples. 10.1002/sim.70449 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
title Clinical Trial Simulation: Planning With the OCTAVE Framework, Implementation and Validation Principles
topic Statistics in Medicine
url https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/sim.70449