Proposal of the novel predictive model for postoperative pancreatic fistula in distal pancreatectomy for pancreatic tumor based on preoperative imaging parameters and stapler handling

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Autori principali: Koshiro Morino, Kenzo Nakano, Toshihiko Goto, Hirokazu Tanaka, Takafumi Machimoto
Natura: Artículo Open Access
Pubblicazione: Wiley 2024
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author Koshiro Morino
Kenzo Nakano
Toshihiko Goto
Hirokazu Tanaka
Takafumi Machimoto
author_facet Koshiro Morino
Kenzo Nakano
Toshihiko Goto
Hirokazu Tanaka
Takafumi Machimoto
Koshiro Morino
Kenzo Nakano
Toshihiko Goto
Hirokazu Tanaka
Takafumi Machimoto
collection Wiley Open Access
contents Proposal of the novel predictive model for postoperative pancreatic fistula in distal pancreatectomy for pancreatic tumor based on preoperative imaging parameters and stapler handling Koshiro Morino Kenzo Nakano Toshihiko Goto Hirokazu Tanaka Takafumi Machimoto World Journal of Surgery AbstractBackgroundDistal pancreatectomy (DP) using linear staplers is widely performed; however, postoperative pancreatic fistulas (POPF) remain an issue. This study aimed to analyze preoperative risk factors for POPF and assess stapler handling.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed consecutive patients who underwent DP for pancreatic tumors using a linear stapler between 2014 and 2022. Preoperative measurements included pancreas‐to‐muscle signal intensity ratio (SIR) on fat‐suppressed T1‐weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). The main outcome was clinically relevant POPF of the 2016 International Study Group of Pancreatic Fistulas definition. The predictive ability of the model was compared with the distal fistula risk score (D‐FRS) by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).ResultsAmong the 81 patients, POPF occurred in 31 (38.2%). Multivariate analysis identified computed tomography‐measured pancreatic thickness (odds ratio [OR] 1.30, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05–1.61, p = 0.009) and SIR on T1‐weighted MRI (OR 6.85, 95% CI 1.71–27.4, p = 0.002) as preoperative predictors. A novel preoperative model, “Thickness × MRI (TM)”‐index, was established by multiplying these two variables. The TM‐index exhibited the highest predictability preoperatively (AUROC 0.757, 95% CI 0.649–0.867). In the intraoperative variable analyses, TM‐index (p < 0.001), thin cartridge application (p = 0.032), and short pre‐firing compression (p = 0.047) were identified as significant risk factors for POPF. The model's AUROC combined with these two stapler handling methods was higher than D‐FRS (0.851 vs. 0.660, p = 0.006).ConclusionsThe novel preoperative model exhibited excellent predictability. Thick cartridge use and long pre‐firing compression were protective factors against POPF. This model may facilitate preventive surgical strategy development to reduce POPF. 10.1002/wjs.12113 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
doi_str_mv 10.1002/wjs.12113
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institution Wiley Open Access
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publisher Wiley
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spellingShingle Proposal of the novel predictive model for postoperative pancreatic fistula in distal pancreatectomy for pancreatic tumor based on preoperative imaging parameters and stapler handling
Koshiro Morino
Kenzo Nakano
Toshihiko Goto
Hirokazu Tanaka
Takafumi Machimoto
World Journal of Surgery
Proposal of the novel predictive model for postoperative pancreatic fistula in distal pancreatectomy for pancreatic tumor based on preoperative imaging parameters and stapler handling Koshiro Morino Kenzo Nakano Toshihiko Goto Hirokazu Tanaka Takafumi Machimoto World Journal of Surgery AbstractBackgroundDistal pancreatectomy (DP) using linear staplers is widely performed; however, postoperative pancreatic fistulas (POPF) remain an issue. This study aimed to analyze preoperative risk factors for POPF and assess stapler handling.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed consecutive patients who underwent DP for pancreatic tumors using a linear stapler between 2014 and 2022. Preoperative measurements included pancreas‐to‐muscle signal intensity ratio (SIR) on fat‐suppressed T1‐weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). The main outcome was clinically relevant POPF of the 2016 International Study Group of Pancreatic Fistulas definition. The predictive ability of the model was compared with the distal fistula risk score (D‐FRS) by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).ResultsAmong the 81 patients, POPF occurred in 31 (38.2%). Multivariate analysis identified computed tomography‐measured pancreatic thickness (odds ratio [OR] 1.30, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05–1.61, p = 0.009) and SIR on T1‐weighted MRI (OR 6.85, 95% CI 1.71–27.4, p = 0.002) as preoperative predictors. A novel preoperative model, “Thickness × MRI (TM)”‐index, was established by multiplying these two variables. The TM‐index exhibited the highest predictability preoperatively (AUROC 0.757, 95% CI 0.649–0.867). In the intraoperative variable analyses, TM‐index (p < 0.001), thin cartridge application (p = 0.032), and short pre‐firing compression (p = 0.047) were identified as significant risk factors for POPF. The model's AUROC combined with these two stapler handling methods was higher than D‐FRS (0.851 vs. 0.660, p = 0.006).ConclusionsThe novel preoperative model exhibited excellent predictability. Thick cartridge use and long pre‐firing compression were protective factors against POPF. This model may facilitate preventive surgical strategy development to reduce POPF. 10.1002/wjs.12113 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
title Proposal of the novel predictive model for postoperative pancreatic fistula in distal pancreatectomy for pancreatic tumor based on preoperative imaging parameters and stapler handling
topic World Journal of Surgery
url https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wjs.12113