Improving the Classification of Wildlife Conservation Status to Support Nature Protection in the European Union

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Autori principali: Marco Davoli, Martin Jung, Piero Visconti, Carlo Rondinini, Alessandra D´Alessio, Michela Pacifici
Natura: Artículo Open Access
Pubblicazione: Wiley 2026
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author Marco Davoli
Martin Jung
Piero Visconti
Carlo Rondinini
Alessandra D´Alessio
Michela Pacifici
author_facet Marco Davoli
Martin Jung
Piero Visconti
Carlo Rondinini
Alessandra D´Alessio
Michela Pacifici
Marco Davoli
Martin Jung
Piero Visconti
Carlo Rondinini
Alessandra D´Alessio
Michela Pacifici
collection Wiley Open Access
contents Improving the Classification of Wildlife Conservation Status to Support Nature Protection in the European Union Marco Davoli Martin Jung Piero Visconti Carlo Rondinini Alessandra D´Alessio Michela Pacifici Conservation Letters ABSTRACT Ensuring that species of conservation concern achieve favorable conservation status (FCS) is central to European Union (EU) biodiversity conservation targets. A key criterion for FCS is exceeding the favorable reference range (FRR)—the range extent needed to support long‐term species stability across sufficient environmental variation. However, FRRs are often unknown, undermining their applicability. We developed a machine‐learning approach based on the assumption that species with similar traits and habitats share comparable range requirements to estimate and standardize FRRs across the EU. Applied to amphibians, mammals, and reptiles, our method provided FRRs for 99.5% species of conservation concern, compared to 17.5% previously available (with satisfactory modeling performance: R 2 0.75). We compared current ranges with estimated FRRs, finding that only 34.8% of cases meet or exceed FRR expectations, notably fewer than reported in official documentation (79%). Our approach may support periodic FCS reassessments and help refine the targets of EU conservation policies. 10.1111/con4.70039 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
doi_str_mv 10.1111/con4.70039
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id wiley_oa_10_1111_con4_70039
institution Wiley Open Access
license_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
publishDate 2026
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spellingShingle Improving the Classification of Wildlife Conservation Status to Support Nature Protection in the European Union
Marco Davoli
Martin Jung
Piero Visconti
Carlo Rondinini
Alessandra D´Alessio
Michela Pacifici
Conservation Letters
Improving the Classification of Wildlife Conservation Status to Support Nature Protection in the European Union Marco Davoli Martin Jung Piero Visconti Carlo Rondinini Alessandra D´Alessio Michela Pacifici Conservation Letters ABSTRACT Ensuring that species of conservation concern achieve favorable conservation status (FCS) is central to European Union (EU) biodiversity conservation targets. A key criterion for FCS is exceeding the favorable reference range (FRR)—the range extent needed to support long‐term species stability across sufficient environmental variation. However, FRRs are often unknown, undermining their applicability. We developed a machine‐learning approach based on the assumption that species with similar traits and habitats share comparable range requirements to estimate and standardize FRRs across the EU. Applied to amphibians, mammals, and reptiles, our method provided FRRs for 99.5% species of conservation concern, compared to 17.5% previously available (with satisfactory modeling performance: R 2 0.75). We compared current ranges with estimated FRRs, finding that only 34.8% of cases meet or exceed FRR expectations, notably fewer than reported in official documentation (79%). Our approach may support periodic FCS reassessments and help refine the targets of EU conservation policies. 10.1111/con4.70039 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
title Improving the Classification of Wildlife Conservation Status to Support Nature Protection in the European Union
topic Conservation Letters
url https://conbio.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/con4.70039