Government affiliation, analyst behavior and the economic consequences

Fuente: Wiley Open Access
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Auteurs principaux: Ning Jia, Tianqi Lan, Dan Wang, Ma Xiaoteng
Format: Artículo Open Access
Publié: Wiley 2024
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author Ning Jia
Tianqi Lan
Dan Wang
Ma Xiaoteng
author_facet Ning Jia
Tianqi Lan
Dan Wang
Ma Xiaoteng
Ning Jia
Tianqi Lan
Dan Wang
Ma Xiaoteng
collection Wiley Open Access
contents Government affiliation, analyst behavior and the economic consequences Ning Jia Tianqi Lan Dan Wang Ma Xiaoteng Journal of Business Finance & Accounting AbstractA significant number of regional brokerage firms in China are owned by their respective local governments. We use this context to examine how local government affiliation affects brokerage firms’ research activities. Using a sample of analyst reports from 2013 to 2021, we find that analysts working at local government‐affiliated brokerage firms are more likely to cover firms within the local government's jurisdiction than non‐affiliated analysts. Local government‐affiliated analysts enjoy an information advantage, as evidenced by the issuance of more accurate earnings forecasts for local firms, compared to those of non‐affiliated analysts. The effect is stronger for local firms with lower information quality. Additionally, local government‐affiliated analysts show more optimism in stock recommendations, but not in earnings forecasts, for local firms, compared to non‐affiliated analysts. The effect is more pronounced for local firms that receive more local government subsidies, operate in regions with greater local government intervention or during the COVID‐19 pandemic and the National Congress conferences, and require more capital market support. The results of this study advance our understanding of the key determinants of analyst performance and provide new evidence in the debate on the role of government intervention in financial institutions. 10.1111/jbfa.12839 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
doi_str_mv 10.1111/jbfa.12839
format Artículo Open Access
id wiley_oa_10_1111_jbfa_12839
institution Wiley Open Access
license_str_mv http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
publishDate 2024
publisher Wiley
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spellingShingle Government affiliation, analyst behavior and the economic consequences
Ning Jia
Tianqi Lan
Dan Wang
Ma Xiaoteng
Journal of Business Finance & Accounting
Government affiliation, analyst behavior and the economic consequences Ning Jia Tianqi Lan Dan Wang Ma Xiaoteng Journal of Business Finance & Accounting AbstractA significant number of regional brokerage firms in China are owned by their respective local governments. We use this context to examine how local government affiliation affects brokerage firms’ research activities. Using a sample of analyst reports from 2013 to 2021, we find that analysts working at local government‐affiliated brokerage firms are more likely to cover firms within the local government's jurisdiction than non‐affiliated analysts. Local government‐affiliated analysts enjoy an information advantage, as evidenced by the issuance of more accurate earnings forecasts for local firms, compared to those of non‐affiliated analysts. The effect is stronger for local firms with lower information quality. Additionally, local government‐affiliated analysts show more optimism in stock recommendations, but not in earnings forecasts, for local firms, compared to non‐affiliated analysts. The effect is more pronounced for local firms that receive more local government subsidies, operate in regions with greater local government intervention or during the COVID‐19 pandemic and the National Congress conferences, and require more capital market support. The results of this study advance our understanding of the key determinants of analyst performance and provide new evidence in the debate on the role of government intervention in financial institutions. 10.1111/jbfa.12839 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
title Government affiliation, analyst behavior and the economic consequences
topic Journal of Business Finance & Accounting
url https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jbfa.12839