Conditional variable importance for random forests

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Main Authors: Strobl, Carolin, Boulesteix, Anne-Laure, Kneib, Thomas, Augustin, Thomas, Zeileis, Achim
Format: Recurso digital
Published: Zenodo 2008
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author Strobl, Carolin
Boulesteix, Anne-Laure
Kneib, Thomas
Augustin, Thomas
Zeileis, Achim
author_facet Strobl, Carolin
Boulesteix, Anne-Laure
Kneib, Thomas
Augustin, Thomas
Zeileis, Achim
contents (Uploaded by Plazi for the Bat Literature Project) Background: Random forests are becoming increasingly popular in many scientific fields because they can cope with "small n large p" problems, complex interactions and even highly correlated predictor variables. Their variable importance measures have recently been suggested as screening tools for, e.g., gene expression studies. However, these variable importance measures show a bias towards correlated predictor variables. Results: We identify two mechanisms responsible for this finding: (i) A preference for the selection of correlated predictors in the tree building process and (ii) an additional advantage for correlated predictor variables induced by the unconditional permutation scheme that is employed in the computation of the variable importance measure. Based on these considerations we develop a new, conditional permutation scheme for the computation of the variable importance measure. Conclusion: The resulting conditional variable importance reflects the true impact of each predictor variable more reliably than the original marginal approach.
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_13509436
institution Zenodo
language
publishDate 2008
publisher Zenodo
record_format zenodo
spellingShingle Conditional variable importance for random forests
Strobl, Carolin
Boulesteix, Anne-Laure
Kneib, Thomas
Augustin, Thomas
Zeileis, Achim
Biodiversity
Mammalia
Chiroptera
Chordata
Animalia
bats
bat
(Uploaded by Plazi for the Bat Literature Project) Background: Random forests are becoming increasingly popular in many scientific fields because they can cope with "small n large p" problems, complex interactions and even highly correlated predictor variables. Their variable importance measures have recently been suggested as screening tools for, e.g., gene expression studies. However, these variable importance measures show a bias towards correlated predictor variables. Results: We identify two mechanisms responsible for this finding: (i) A preference for the selection of correlated predictors in the tree building process and (ii) an additional advantage for correlated predictor variables induced by the unconditional permutation scheme that is employed in the computation of the variable importance measure. Based on these considerations we develop a new, conditional permutation scheme for the computation of the variable importance measure. Conclusion: The resulting conditional variable importance reflects the true impact of each predictor variable more reliably than the original marginal approach.
title Conditional variable importance for random forests
topic Biodiversity
Mammalia
Chiroptera
Chordata
Animalia
bats
bat
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13509436