Prediction of Runoff Using Hybrid SVM-SSA in Baitarani River Basin, Odisha, India

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Main Authors: Dalai, Chitaranjan, Panda, Debiprasad
Format: Recurso digital
Published: Zenodo 2025
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author Dalai, Chitaranjan
Panda, Debiprasad
author_facet Dalai, Chitaranjan
Panda, Debiprasad
contents <p><span lang="EN-US">Accurate prediction of surface runoff is essential for effective water resource management, particularly in regions susceptible to hydrological variability such as the Baitarani River Basin in Odisha, India. Traditional hydrological models often fail to capture the complex, nonlinear, and non-stationary behavior of rainfall-runoff processes, especially under the influence of climatic and anthropogenic changes. In this study, a hybrid model integrating Support Vector Machine (SVM) with Salp Swarm Algorithm (SSA) is proposed to enhance the accuracy of monthly runoff prediction. The performance of the SVM-SSA model is compared against conventional Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and standalone SVM models using datasets from Anandpur and Champua gauging stations. Inputs include rainfall, temperature, specific humidity, and relative humidity, offering a comprehensive representation of climatic influences. Model performance is evaluated using statistical metrics such as Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Coefficient of Determination (R²), and Willmott’s Index (WI). The results demonstrate that the hybrid SVM-SSA model significantly outperforms the conventional models, achieving R² values of 0.9847 and 0.9771 at Anandpur and 0.9844 and 0.9756 at Champua for training and testing phases, respectively. These findings suggest that coupling machine learning with metaheuristic optimization provides a promising approach for runoff prediction in complex river basins.</span></p>
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_15487798
institution Zenodo
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publishDate 2025
publisher Zenodo
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spellingShingle Prediction of Runoff Using Hybrid SVM-SSA in Baitarani River Basin, Odisha, India
Dalai, Chitaranjan
Panda, Debiprasad
<p><span lang="EN-US">Accurate prediction of surface runoff is essential for effective water resource management, particularly in regions susceptible to hydrological variability such as the Baitarani River Basin in Odisha, India. Traditional hydrological models often fail to capture the complex, nonlinear, and non-stationary behavior of rainfall-runoff processes, especially under the influence of climatic and anthropogenic changes. In this study, a hybrid model integrating Support Vector Machine (SVM) with Salp Swarm Algorithm (SSA) is proposed to enhance the accuracy of monthly runoff prediction. The performance of the SVM-SSA model is compared against conventional Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and standalone SVM models using datasets from Anandpur and Champua gauging stations. Inputs include rainfall, temperature, specific humidity, and relative humidity, offering a comprehensive representation of climatic influences. Model performance is evaluated using statistical metrics such as Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Coefficient of Determination (R²), and Willmott’s Index (WI). The results demonstrate that the hybrid SVM-SSA model significantly outperforms the conventional models, achieving R² values of 0.9847 and 0.9771 at Anandpur and 0.9844 and 0.9756 at Champua for training and testing phases, respectively. These findings suggest that coupling machine learning with metaheuristic optimization provides a promising approach for runoff prediction in complex river basins.</span></p>
title Prediction of Runoff Using Hybrid SVM-SSA in Baitarani River Basin, Odisha, India
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15487798