Video - Binary Classification Models for Stroke Outcome Prediction

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Main Authors: Virgilijus Sakalauskas, Dalia Kriksciuniene
Format: Recurso digital
Published: Zenodo 2025
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author Virgilijus Sakalauskas
Dalia Kriksciuniene
author_facet Virgilijus Sakalauskas
Dalia Kriksciuniene
contents <p>Stroke is found to be a leading cause of mortality and long-term disability worldwide, forcing effective predictive models to identify at-risk individuals and optimise treatment plans. In this study, we evaluate the performance of various machine learning (ML) algorithms in predicting stroke-related mortality. Five binary classification models—Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Machines (XGBoost), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Neural Networks (MLPClassifier)-were applied to a dataset containing clinical and demographic features of stroke patients registered by the neurology department of the Clinical Centre of Montenegro. Each model was trained and evaluated using standard classification metrics: accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. Also, the importance of the feature was analysed to find the key predictors of stroke mortality across different models. The research shows the Random Forest and XGBoost performance over simpler models, proposing superior accuracy and interpretability. By analysing how precision, recall, and accuracy changes across a range of classification thresholds, we gained deeper insight into the model’s reliability under different clinical conditions. This analysis revealed clear trade-offs: lower thresholds improve recall (reducing the risk of missed death predictions), while higher thresholds enhance precision (minimising false positives). The findings support the selection of threshold values tailored to specific clinical priorities, such as early warning, balanced risk assessment, or high-confidence decision-making.</p>
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_15902475
institution Zenodo
language
publishDate 2025
publisher Zenodo
record_format zenodo
spellingShingle Video - Binary Classification Models for Stroke Outcome Prediction
Virgilijus Sakalauskas
Dalia Kriksciuniene
<p>Stroke is found to be a leading cause of mortality and long-term disability worldwide, forcing effective predictive models to identify at-risk individuals and optimise treatment plans. In this study, we evaluate the performance of various machine learning (ML) algorithms in predicting stroke-related mortality. Five binary classification models—Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Machines (XGBoost), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Neural Networks (MLPClassifier)-were applied to a dataset containing clinical and demographic features of stroke patients registered by the neurology department of the Clinical Centre of Montenegro. Each model was trained and evaluated using standard classification metrics: accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. Also, the importance of the feature was analysed to find the key predictors of stroke mortality across different models. The research shows the Random Forest and XGBoost performance over simpler models, proposing superior accuracy and interpretability. By analysing how precision, recall, and accuracy changes across a range of classification thresholds, we gained deeper insight into the model’s reliability under different clinical conditions. This analysis revealed clear trade-offs: lower thresholds improve recall (reducing the risk of missed death predictions), while higher thresholds enhance precision (minimising false positives). The findings support the selection of threshold values tailored to specific clinical priorities, such as early warning, balanced risk assessment, or high-confidence decision-making.</p>
title Video - Binary Classification Models for Stroke Outcome Prediction
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15902475