CLIMAAX M16 Deliverable 2 & Annex_Clisthenes_Aigaleo
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| Format: | Recurso digital |
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2026
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| _version_ | 1866901972320256000 |
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| author | Bakogianni, Evangelia Sfetsos, Athanasios Politi, Nadia |
| author_facet | Bakogianni, Evangelia Sfetsos, Athanasios Politi, Nadia |
| contents | <p>This deliverable presents the initial Climate Risk Assessment (CRA) for the Municipality of Aigaleo <br>(AGL), developed within the framework of the CLIMAAX – Clisthenes project. It focuses on <br>identifying key climate hazards, vulnerabilities, and capacities to support the future development of <br>inclusive, locally adapted climate adaptation strategies. The core objective of Phase 2 was to <br>address the limitations of coarse-scale data identified in the first phase by thoroughly integrating <br>detailed local information and involving stakeholders in a structured co-creation process. This <br>involved the systematic integration of municipal GIS data, detailed social vulnerability indices, <br>information from the local environmental monitoring network, and census data from the Hellenic <br>Statistical Authority. This shift from regional to neighbourhood-scale analysis is fundamental for <br>translating climate projections into actionable urban planning.<br>The assessment confirms and details two priority climate hazards for Aigaleo: intensifying urban <br>heatwaves and growing wildfire risk in the Wildland-Urban Interface, particularly around the Aigaleo <br>Grove. Through a cycle of eight Monthly Focus Groups and two Participatory Workshops, the project <br>team and local stakeholders co-defined six locally specific risk indicators: Summer Energy Poverty, <br>Buildings' Exposure to Heatwaves, Heatwave Risk to Vulnerable Populations, Health Exposure to <br>Heatwaves, Workers' Exposure to Heatwaves, and Wildfire (FWI) Risk. These indicators capture <br>critical social vulnerabilities that the CLIMAAX workflow do not include but are essential for <br>Aigaleo's resilience.<br>Some notable findings include:<br>Heatwaves: A clear increase in heat stress is projected. Cooling Degree Days (CDD) and the <br>frequency of heatwave days are set to rise substantially, especially under the high-emission scenario <br>(RCP8.5). By the end of the century, the municipality faces a transition from manageable heat risk <br>to severe, potentially unmanageable conditions, disproportionately affecting vulnerable populations <br>in areas with dense, old building stock.<br>Wildfires: Fire Weather Index (FWI) analysis indicates a significant increase in wildfire risk over time. <br>The occurrence of "very extreme" fire weather days is expected to rise considerably, heightening the <br>danger for interface areas. This emphasises the importance of improved vegetation management <br>and community readiness.<br>Social Vulnerability: The assessment spatially identifies hotspots of exposure, linking climate <br>hazards directly to socio-economic fragility. Neighbourhoods with high numbers of elderly residents, <br>low-income households, and energy-inefficient buildings are at the greatest risk, emphasising the <br>need for a just and equitable adaptation response.<br>Persistent challenges include the technical complexity of risk modelling for municipal staff and gaps <br>in hyper-local data. Phase 3 will build directly on these findings, focusing on translating the assessed <br>risks into tangible adaptation strategies. Planned activities include developing a Scalable Policy <br>Canvas, conducting participatory workshops to co-design interventions, and raising awareness to <br>embed climate resilience into the wider West Athens urban strategy.<br>This detailed CRA emphasises the climate challenges facing Aigaleo and provides a structured <br>foundation for inclusive, evidence-based planning of climate adaptation solutions with strong social <br>impact. The next phase of the project will be further enriched through community engagement and <br>cross-sectoral cooperation in subsequent stages of the Clisthenes project. Building directly on this <br>10<br>Deliverable Phase 2<br>assessment, Phase 3 will focus on translating the identified risks into concrete adaptation strategies <br>by developing a Scalable Policy Canvas, organising participatory design workshops, and executing <br>strategic outreach to scale resilience actions across the West Athens area.<br>In conclusion, the work carried out in Phase 2 provides Aigaleo with a strong, evidence-based <br>foundation for proactive and inclusive climate adaptation planning. It shifts the municipality from a <br>reactive approach to a proactive stance, enabling focused allocation of resources and the design of <br>measures that are both technically robust and socially just, paving the way for effective adaptation <br>strategies in the final phase of the project</p> |
| format | Recurso digital |
| id | zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_18350826 |
| institution | Zenodo |
| language | eng |
| publishDate | 2026 |
| publisher | Zenodo |
| record_format | zenodo |
| spellingShingle | CLIMAAX M16 Deliverable 2 & Annex_Clisthenes_Aigaleo Bakogianni, Evangelia Sfetsos, Athanasios Politi, Nadia Heatwaves Heatwave Risk Assessment Wildfires Health exposure to Heatwaves Buildings Exposure to Heatwaves <p>This deliverable presents the initial Climate Risk Assessment (CRA) for the Municipality of Aigaleo <br>(AGL), developed within the framework of the CLIMAAX – Clisthenes project. It focuses on <br>identifying key climate hazards, vulnerabilities, and capacities to support the future development of <br>inclusive, locally adapted climate adaptation strategies. The core objective of Phase 2 was to <br>address the limitations of coarse-scale data identified in the first phase by thoroughly integrating <br>detailed local information and involving stakeholders in a structured co-creation process. This <br>involved the systematic integration of municipal GIS data, detailed social vulnerability indices, <br>information from the local environmental monitoring network, and census data from the Hellenic <br>Statistical Authority. This shift from regional to neighbourhood-scale analysis is fundamental for <br>translating climate projections into actionable urban planning.<br>The assessment confirms and details two priority climate hazards for Aigaleo: intensifying urban <br>heatwaves and growing wildfire risk in the Wildland-Urban Interface, particularly around the Aigaleo <br>Grove. Through a cycle of eight Monthly Focus Groups and two Participatory Workshops, the project <br>team and local stakeholders co-defined six locally specific risk indicators: Summer Energy Poverty, <br>Buildings' Exposure to Heatwaves, Heatwave Risk to Vulnerable Populations, Health Exposure to <br>Heatwaves, Workers' Exposure to Heatwaves, and Wildfire (FWI) Risk. These indicators capture <br>critical social vulnerabilities that the CLIMAAX workflow do not include but are essential for <br>Aigaleo's resilience.<br>Some notable findings include:<br>Heatwaves: A clear increase in heat stress is projected. Cooling Degree Days (CDD) and the <br>frequency of heatwave days are set to rise substantially, especially under the high-emission scenario <br>(RCP8.5). By the end of the century, the municipality faces a transition from manageable heat risk <br>to severe, potentially unmanageable conditions, disproportionately affecting vulnerable populations <br>in areas with dense, old building stock.<br>Wildfires: Fire Weather Index (FWI) analysis indicates a significant increase in wildfire risk over time. <br>The occurrence of "very extreme" fire weather days is expected to rise considerably, heightening the <br>danger for interface areas. This emphasises the importance of improved vegetation management <br>and community readiness.<br>Social Vulnerability: The assessment spatially identifies hotspots of exposure, linking climate <br>hazards directly to socio-economic fragility. Neighbourhoods with high numbers of elderly residents, <br>low-income households, and energy-inefficient buildings are at the greatest risk, emphasising the <br>need for a just and equitable adaptation response.<br>Persistent challenges include the technical complexity of risk modelling for municipal staff and gaps <br>in hyper-local data. Phase 3 will build directly on these findings, focusing on translating the assessed <br>risks into tangible adaptation strategies. Planned activities include developing a Scalable Policy <br>Canvas, conducting participatory workshops to co-design interventions, and raising awareness to <br>embed climate resilience into the wider West Athens urban strategy.<br>This detailed CRA emphasises the climate challenges facing Aigaleo and provides a structured <br>foundation for inclusive, evidence-based planning of climate adaptation solutions with strong social <br>impact. The next phase of the project will be further enriched through community engagement and <br>cross-sectoral cooperation in subsequent stages of the Clisthenes project. Building directly on this <br>10<br>Deliverable Phase 2<br>assessment, Phase 3 will focus on translating the identified risks into concrete adaptation strategies <br>by developing a Scalable Policy Canvas, organising participatory design workshops, and executing <br>strategic outreach to scale resilience actions across the West Athens area.<br>In conclusion, the work carried out in Phase 2 provides Aigaleo with a strong, evidence-based <br>foundation for proactive and inclusive climate adaptation planning. It shifts the municipality from a <br>reactive approach to a proactive stance, enabling focused allocation of resources and the design of <br>measures that are both technically robust and socially just, paving the way for effective adaptation <br>strategies in the final phase of the project</p> |
| title | CLIMAAX M16 Deliverable 2 & Annex_Clisthenes_Aigaleo |
| topic | Heatwaves Heatwave Risk Assessment Wildfires Health exposure to Heatwaves Buildings Exposure to Heatwaves |
| url | https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18350826 |