Early Success Trap and Late Bloomer Advantage: A Dynamical Theory of Career Success
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2026
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| _version_ | 1866901579778490368 |
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| author | UEDA, Takashi |
| author_facet | UEDA, Takashi |
| contents | <p>Early success is commonly interpreted as evidence of superior talent, while late bloomers are</p> <p>often regarded as less capable. In this paper, we present a unified phenomenological model of</p> <p>social success that demonstrates the opposite: early success can structurally undermine long-</p> <p>term career stability, whereas late bloomers may succeed precisely because of their initially</p> <p>unfavorable position. Using a dynamical success index, we derive explicit conditions under</p> <p>which early success leads to career collapse and late bloomers eventually dominate. The results</p> <p>provide a mathematical foundation for the Early Success Trap and the Late Bloomer Advantage,</p> <p>with implications for education systems, talent evaluation, and career design.</p> |
| format | Recurso digital |
| id | zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_18481780 |
| institution | Zenodo |
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| publishDate | 2026 |
| publisher | Zenodo |
| record_format | zenodo |
| spellingShingle | Early Success Trap and Late Bloomer Advantage: A Dynamical Theory of Career Success UEDA, Takashi <p>Early success is commonly interpreted as evidence of superior talent, while late bloomers are</p> <p>often regarded as less capable. In this paper, we present a unified phenomenological model of</p> <p>social success that demonstrates the opposite: early success can structurally undermine long-</p> <p>term career stability, whereas late bloomers may succeed precisely because of their initially</p> <p>unfavorable position. Using a dynamical success index, we derive explicit conditions under</p> <p>which early success leads to career collapse and late bloomers eventually dominate. The results</p> <p>provide a mathematical foundation for the Early Success Trap and the Late Bloomer Advantage,</p> <p>with implications for education systems, talent evaluation, and career design.</p> |
| title | Early Success Trap and Late Bloomer Advantage: A Dynamical Theory of Career Success |
| url | https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18481780 |