From Hospitality to Hostility? Economic Competition and Anti-Refugee Political Mobilization in Jordan and Lebanon
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2026
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| _version_ | 1866901099854692352 |
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| author | CALISIR, Vahit |
| author_facet | CALISIR, Vahit |
| contents | <p>This study examines how perceived economic competition with Syrian refugees shapes anti-refugee attitudes in Jordan and Lebanon. Using Arab Barometer Wave VIII survey data (2022–2023), we test whether the relationship between economic grievances and anti-refugee attitudes follows patterns observed inWestern democracies or exhibits distinct regional characteristics. Our findings reveal strong support for economic threat theory: sociotropic economic pessimism significantly<br>predicts higher perceived refugee job competition (β = 0.206, p < .001). Younger respondents report significantly higher competition perceptions than older cohorts, particularly in Lebanon, reflecting youth vulnerability in MENA labor markets. Lebanese respondents exhibit higher perceived competition than Jordanians (β = 0.225, p < .001), consistent with Lebanon’s more severe economic crisis. Education effects are negative but non-significant, providing no evidence for the hypothesized reversal of Western patterns. The relationship between economic grievances and refugee competition perceptions does not differ significantly between countries, suggesting similar psychological mechanisms operate across institutional contexts. These findings contribute to debates on the economic determinants of immigration attitudes and highlight the importance of perceived threat mechanisms in protracted displacement settings.</p> |
| format | Recurso digital |
| id | zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_18503316 |
| institution | Zenodo |
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| publishDate | 2026 |
| publisher | Zenodo |
| record_format | zenodo |
| spellingShingle | From Hospitality to Hostility? Economic Competition and Anti-Refugee Political Mobilization in Jordan and Lebanon CALISIR, Vahit <p>This study examines how perceived economic competition with Syrian refugees shapes anti-refugee attitudes in Jordan and Lebanon. Using Arab Barometer Wave VIII survey data (2022–2023), we test whether the relationship between economic grievances and anti-refugee attitudes follows patterns observed inWestern democracies or exhibits distinct regional characteristics. Our findings reveal strong support for economic threat theory: sociotropic economic pessimism significantly<br>predicts higher perceived refugee job competition (β = 0.206, p < .001). Younger respondents report significantly higher competition perceptions than older cohorts, particularly in Lebanon, reflecting youth vulnerability in MENA labor markets. Lebanese respondents exhibit higher perceived competition than Jordanians (β = 0.225, p < .001), consistent with Lebanon’s more severe economic crisis. Education effects are negative but non-significant, providing no evidence for the hypothesized reversal of Western patterns. The relationship between economic grievances and refugee competition perceptions does not differ significantly between countries, suggesting similar psychological mechanisms operate across institutional contexts. These findings contribute to debates on the economic determinants of immigration attitudes and highlight the importance of perceived threat mechanisms in protracted displacement settings.</p> |
| title | From Hospitality to Hostility? Economic Competition and Anti-Refugee Political Mobilization in Jordan and Lebanon |
| url | https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18503316 |