Methodological Evaluation of Public Health Surveillance Systems in Kenya Using Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Reliability Assessment

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Main Author: Mutua, Odhiambo
Format: Recurso digital
Language:English
Published: Zenodo 2000
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_version_ 1866901910585344000
author Mutua, Odhiambo
author_facet Mutua, Odhiambo
contents <p>Public health surveillance systems in Kenya are critical for monitoring infectious diseases such as cholera and typhoid fever. However, their reliability and performance vary across different regions. The study employed Bayesian hierarchical models to analyse surveillance data from multiple sites within Kenya, aiming to estimate system reliability with robust uncertainty estimates. In one region, it was found that the surveillance system had an accuracy rate of 85% in detecting outbreaks compared to traditional methods. The Bayesian hierarchical model provided a nuanced understanding of system performance across different regions and could inform improvements in public health surveillance practices. Adopting this methodological approach can enhance the reliability and effectiveness of future public health surveillance systems in Kenya. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.</p>
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_18707109
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language eng
publishDate 2000
publisher Zenodo
record_format zenodo
spellingShingle Methodological Evaluation of Public Health Surveillance Systems in Kenya Using Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Reliability Assessment
Mutua, Odhiambo
Sub-Saharan
Bayesian
Hierarchical
Evaluation
Reliability
Surveillance
Public Health
<p>Public health surveillance systems in Kenya are critical for monitoring infectious diseases such as cholera and typhoid fever. However, their reliability and performance vary across different regions. The study employed Bayesian hierarchical models to analyse surveillance data from multiple sites within Kenya, aiming to estimate system reliability with robust uncertainty estimates. In one region, it was found that the surveillance system had an accuracy rate of 85% in detecting outbreaks compared to traditional methods. The Bayesian hierarchical model provided a nuanced understanding of system performance across different regions and could inform improvements in public health surveillance practices. Adopting this methodological approach can enhance the reliability and effectiveness of future public health surveillance systems in Kenya. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.</p>
title Methodological Evaluation of Public Health Surveillance Systems in Kenya Using Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Reliability Assessment
topic Sub-Saharan
Bayesian
Hierarchical
Evaluation
Reliability
Surveillance
Public Health
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18707109