Time-Series Forecasting Model Evaluation for Municipal Water Systems in Tanzania: An Efficiency Gain Assessment

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Main Authors: Harvey, Sally, Mwalimu, Amani, Kinyanjui, Marilyn
Format: Recurso digital
Language:English
Published: Zenodo 2026
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_version_ 1866902274417098752
author Harvey, Sally
Mwalimu, Amani
Kinyanjui, Marilyn
author_facet Harvey, Sally
Mwalimu, Amani
Kinyanjui, Marilyn
contents <p>Municipal water systems in Tanzania face challenges related to efficiency and reliability, necessitating a robust evaluation method. A time-series forecasting model will be employed to forecast municipal water system usage patterns. Robust standard errors are used for uncertainty assessment. Forecasting accuracy was notably improved, with a 15% reduction in prediction error compared to baseline methods. The proposed time-series forecasting method shows promise in enhancing the efficiency of municipal water systems in Tanzania. Further research should be conducted on scaling up the model and testing it across different regions. time-series forecasting, municipal water systems, efficiency gains, Tanzania The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.</p>
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_18716030
institution Zenodo
language eng
publishDate 2026
publisher Zenodo
record_format zenodo
spellingShingle Time-Series Forecasting Model Evaluation for Municipal Water Systems in Tanzania: An Efficiency Gain Assessment
Harvey, Sally
Mwalimu, Amani
Kinyanjui, Marilyn
Mozambique
agroecology
econometrics
machine learning
sustainability
IoT
resilience
<p>Municipal water systems in Tanzania face challenges related to efficiency and reliability, necessitating a robust evaluation method. A time-series forecasting model will be employed to forecast municipal water system usage patterns. Robust standard errors are used for uncertainty assessment. Forecasting accuracy was notably improved, with a 15% reduction in prediction error compared to baseline methods. The proposed time-series forecasting method shows promise in enhancing the efficiency of municipal water systems in Tanzania. Further research should be conducted on scaling up the model and testing it across different regions. time-series forecasting, municipal water systems, efficiency gains, Tanzania The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.</p>
title Time-Series Forecasting Model Evaluation for Municipal Water Systems in Tanzania: An Efficiency Gain Assessment
topic Mozambique
agroecology
econometrics
machine learning
sustainability
IoT
resilience
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18716030