Time-Series Forecasting Model for Clinical Outcomes in Senegalese District Hospitals Systems: A Methodological Evaluation

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Autore principale: Ndaw, Mama Diop
Natura: Recurso digital
Lingua:inglese
Pubblicazione: Zenodo 2001
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author Ndaw, Mama Diop
author_facet Ndaw, Mama Diop
contents <p>District hospitals in Senegal are critical for healthcare delivery, particularly in underserved areas. However, their performance and potential improvements require robust evaluation methods. We employed a time-series forecasting model using historical data from selected district hospitals. The model was validated using cross-validation techniques and assessed for its predictive accuracy. Our analysis revealed that the proposed model accurately forecasted hospital readmission rates with an average error of ±5% over the study period. The time-series forecasting model demonstrated promising performance in predicting clinical outcomes at district hospitals in Senegal, offering a valuable tool for healthcare management and planning. Further research should be conducted to validate these findings across different regions and hospital types in Senegal. district hospitals, clinical outcomes, time-series forecasting, predictive analytics, Senegal Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.</p>
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spellingShingle Time-Series Forecasting Model for Clinical Outcomes in Senegalese District Hospitals Systems: A Methodological Evaluation
Ndaw, Mama Diop
African geography
Senegal
district hospitals
time-series analysis
forecasting models
clinical outcomes
methodological evaluation
<p>District hospitals in Senegal are critical for healthcare delivery, particularly in underserved areas. However, their performance and potential improvements require robust evaluation methods. We employed a time-series forecasting model using historical data from selected district hospitals. The model was validated using cross-validation techniques and assessed for its predictive accuracy. Our analysis revealed that the proposed model accurately forecasted hospital readmission rates with an average error of ±5% over the study period. The time-series forecasting model demonstrated promising performance in predicting clinical outcomes at district hospitals in Senegal, offering a valuable tool for healthcare management and planning. Further research should be conducted to validate these findings across different regions and hospital types in Senegal. district hospitals, clinical outcomes, time-series forecasting, predictive analytics, Senegal Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.</p>
title Time-Series Forecasting Model for Clinical Outcomes in Senegalese District Hospitals Systems: A Methodological Evaluation
topic African geography
Senegal
district hospitals
time-series analysis
forecasting models
clinical outcomes
methodological evaluation
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18726504