Time-Series Forecasting Model for Clinical Outcomes in Senegalese Smallholder Farm Systems

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Autore principale: Diop, Issa
Natura: Recurso digital
Lingua:inglese
Pubblicazione: Zenodo 2001
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author Diop, Issa
author_facet Diop, Issa
contents <p>Clinical outcomes in smallholder farm systems in Senegal have been identified as critical for understanding animal health and welfare. A time-series forecasting approach was employed using data from smallholder farms in Senegal. The model incorporates ARIMA methodology for trend analysis. The model forecasts a 5% increase in clinical cases over the next two years, with significant uncertainty, suggesting a need for adaptive management strategies. This study establishes an effective time-series forecasting framework for understanding and predicting clinical outcomes in Senegalese smallholder systems. Adoption of targeted interventions based on predicted trends is recommended to mitigate the forecasted increase in clinical cases. Senegal, Smallholder Farm Systems, Clinical Outcomes, Time-Series Forecasting, ARIMA Model The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.</p>
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_18737225
institution Zenodo
language eng
publishDate 2001
publisher Zenodo
record_format zenodo
spellingShingle Time-Series Forecasting Model for Clinical Outcomes in Senegalese Smallholder Farm Systems
Diop, Issa
African agriculture
time-series analysis
livestock management
econometrics
forecasting models
smallholder farming
predictive analytics
<p>Clinical outcomes in smallholder farm systems in Senegal have been identified as critical for understanding animal health and welfare. A time-series forecasting approach was employed using data from smallholder farms in Senegal. The model incorporates ARIMA methodology for trend analysis. The model forecasts a 5% increase in clinical cases over the next two years, with significant uncertainty, suggesting a need for adaptive management strategies. This study establishes an effective time-series forecasting framework for understanding and predicting clinical outcomes in Senegalese smallholder systems. Adoption of targeted interventions based on predicted trends is recommended to mitigate the forecasted increase in clinical cases. Senegal, Smallholder Farm Systems, Clinical Outcomes, Time-Series Forecasting, ARIMA Model The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.</p>
title Time-Series Forecasting Model for Clinical Outcomes in Senegalese Smallholder Farm Systems
topic African agriculture
time-series analysis
livestock management
econometrics
forecasting models
smallholder farming
predictive analytics
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18737225