Asymptotic Analysis and Identifiability in Time-Series Econometrics for Traffic-Flow Optimization in Rwanda

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Auteurs principaux: Muhizi, Kabuga, Habimana, Nyirabugogo, Uwiringiyumvabe, Gaterwa
Format: Recurso digital
Langue:anglais
Publié: Zenodo 2003
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author Muhizi, Kabuga
Habimana, Nyirabugogo
Uwiringiyumvabe, Gaterwa
author_facet Muhizi, Kabuga
Habimana, Nyirabugogo
Uwiringiyumvabe, Gaterwa
contents <p>This study focuses on optimising traffic flow in Rwanda through econometric analysis of time-series data. A theoretical approach was employed, including an assumption that traffic flow can be modelled by a linear regression equation with time as the independent variable. The model's parameters were estimated using maximum likelihood estimation, ensuring identifiability through statistical tests. The asymptotic analysis revealed that the traffic data converges to a stable solution over long periods, indicating reliable predictions of future flow patterns. The study successfully identified and quantified the effects of various factors influencing traffic flow in Rwanda using econometric techniques. These findings suggest implementing dynamic traffic management systems based on real-time data analysis for optimal traffic flow control. Model selection is formalised as $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta\in\Theta}\{L(\theta)+\lambda\,\Omega(\theta)\}$ with consistency under mild identifiability assumptions.</p>
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_18768425
institution Zenodo
language eng
publishDate 2003
publisher Zenodo
record_format zenodo
spellingShingle Asymptotic Analysis and Identifiability in Time-Series Econometrics for Traffic-Flow Optimization in Rwanda
Muhizi, Kabuga
Habimana, Nyirabugogo
Uwiringiyumvabe, Gaterwa
Sub-Saharan
econometrics
time-series
identifiability
asymptotic
estimation
regression
<p>This study focuses on optimising traffic flow in Rwanda through econometric analysis of time-series data. A theoretical approach was employed, including an assumption that traffic flow can be modelled by a linear regression equation with time as the independent variable. The model's parameters were estimated using maximum likelihood estimation, ensuring identifiability through statistical tests. The asymptotic analysis revealed that the traffic data converges to a stable solution over long periods, indicating reliable predictions of future flow patterns. The study successfully identified and quantified the effects of various factors influencing traffic flow in Rwanda using econometric techniques. These findings suggest implementing dynamic traffic management systems based on real-time data analysis for optimal traffic flow control. Model selection is formalised as $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta\in\Theta}\{L(\theta)+\lambda\,\Omega(\theta)\}$ with consistency under mild identifiability assumptions.</p>
title Asymptotic Analysis and Identifiability in Time-Series Econometrics for Traffic-Flow Optimization in Rwanda
topic Sub-Saharan
econometrics
time-series
identifiability
asymptotic
estimation
regression
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18768425