Methodological Evaluation of Manufacturing Systems in Nigerian Plants Using Time-Series Forecasting Models

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Auteurs principaux: Obiorah, Nnanyelugu, Nwosu, Chinedu, Uzomachi, Obioma, Adekunbi, Ifeyinfa
Format: Recurso digital
Langue:anglais
Publié: Zenodo 2003
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author Obiorah, Nnanyelugu
Nwosu, Chinedu
Uzomachi, Obioma
Adekunbi, Ifeyinfa
author_facet Obiorah, Nnanyelugu
Nwosu, Chinedu
Uzomachi, Obioma
Adekunbi, Ifeyinfa
contents <p>Manufacturing systems in Nigerian plants are critical for economic growth and industrial development. However, their efficiency varies significantly due to operational challenges. The methodology involves collecting historical data on production costs and output from selected Nigerian plants, applying autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model for forecasting future trends, and conducting sensitivity analysis on different parameters. A significant direction in findings suggests that ARIMA models can predict cost reductions by up to 15% with a confidence interval of ±2.5%, indicating the potential for substantial savings through optimised operations. The application of ARIMA models has revealed promising insights into improving manufacturing efficiency and cost-effectiveness in Nigerian plants, providing actionable recommendations for stakeholders. Stakeholders are advised to implement the recommended operational strategies based on findings to achieve sustainable growth in their manufacturing systems. The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.</p>
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_18776037
institution Zenodo
language eng
publishDate 2003
publisher Zenodo
record_format zenodo
spellingShingle Methodological Evaluation of Manufacturing Systems in Nigerian Plants Using Time-Series Forecasting Models
Obiorah, Nnanyelugu
Nwosu, Chinedu
Uzomachi, Obioma
Adekunbi, Ifeyinfa
Nigerian
Manufacturing
Systems
Time-series
Forecasting
Analysis
Econometrics
<p>Manufacturing systems in Nigerian plants are critical for economic growth and industrial development. However, their efficiency varies significantly due to operational challenges. The methodology involves collecting historical data on production costs and output from selected Nigerian plants, applying autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model for forecasting future trends, and conducting sensitivity analysis on different parameters. A significant direction in findings suggests that ARIMA models can predict cost reductions by up to 15% with a confidence interval of ±2.5%, indicating the potential for substantial savings through optimised operations. The application of ARIMA models has revealed promising insights into improving manufacturing efficiency and cost-effectiveness in Nigerian plants, providing actionable recommendations for stakeholders. Stakeholders are advised to implement the recommended operational strategies based on findings to achieve sustainable growth in their manufacturing systems. The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.</p>
title Methodological Evaluation of Manufacturing Systems in Nigerian Plants Using Time-Series Forecasting Models
topic Nigerian
Manufacturing
Systems
Time-series
Forecasting
Analysis
Econometrics
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18776037