Machine Learning Models in Climate Prediction and Adaptation Planning in South Africa

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Main Author: Mthombeni, Sifiso
Format: Recurso digital
Language:English
Published: Zenodo 2005
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author Mthombeni, Sifiso
author_facet Mthombeni, Sifiso
contents <p>Climate change poses significant challenges to South Africa's agricultural productivity, water resources management, and urban infrastructure. A comprehensive literature review was conducted alongside a comparative analysis of various machine learning algorithms applied to historical climate datasets from South African regions. Machine learning models demonstrated an average improvement of 15% in temperature forecasting accuracy compared to traditional statistical methods, particularly beneficial for regions prone to extreme weather events. The study underscores the potential of machine learning in refining climate predictions and supports evidence-based adaptation planning efforts in South Africa. Adopting a multi-model ensemble approach incorporating diverse climate datasets could further enhance predictive precision and reliability, thereby improving decision-making processes for stakeholders across sectors. Model estimation used $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}\sum_i\ell(y_i,f_\theta(x_i))+\lambda\lVert\theta\rVert_2^2$, with performance evaluated using out-of-sample error.</p>
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_18816830
institution Zenodo
language eng
publishDate 2005
publisher Zenodo
record_format zenodo
spellingShingle Machine Learning Models in Climate Prediction and Adaptation Planning in South Africa
Mthombeni, Sifiso
African climates
Climate forecasting
Machine learning
Pattern recognition
Regression analysis
Spatial data analysis
Time series analysis
<p>Climate change poses significant challenges to South Africa's agricultural productivity, water resources management, and urban infrastructure. A comprehensive literature review was conducted alongside a comparative analysis of various machine learning algorithms applied to historical climate datasets from South African regions. Machine learning models demonstrated an average improvement of 15% in temperature forecasting accuracy compared to traditional statistical methods, particularly beneficial for regions prone to extreme weather events. The study underscores the potential of machine learning in refining climate predictions and supports evidence-based adaptation planning efforts in South Africa. Adopting a multi-model ensemble approach incorporating diverse climate datasets could further enhance predictive precision and reliability, thereby improving decision-making processes for stakeholders across sectors. Model estimation used $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}\sum_i\ell(y_i,f_\theta(x_i))+\lambda\lVert\theta\rVert_2^2$, with performance evaluated using out-of-sample error.</p>
title Machine Learning Models in Climate Prediction and Adaptation Planning in South Africa
topic African climates
Climate forecasting
Machine learning
Pattern recognition
Regression analysis
Spatial data analysis
Time series analysis
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18816830