Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Evaluating Risk Reduction in Public Health Surveillance Systems in Kenya

Fuente: Zenodo
Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Kiplagat, Kamau, Muthui, Odhiambo
Format: Recurso digital
Language:English
Published: Zenodo 2009
Subjects:
Online Access:
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1866901552205135872
author Kiplagat, Kamau
Muthui, Odhiambo
author_facet Kiplagat, Kamau
Muthui, Odhiambo
contents <p>Public health surveillance systems in Kenya have been established to monitor diseases and interventions over time. A Bayesian hierarchical model will be applied longitudinally across different regions of Kenya to assess the effectiveness of surveillance efforts in reducing disease incidence. The model revealed a significant decrease (p<0.05) in disease prevalence rates by 12% after implementing targeted interventions, with robust uncertainty quantification provided through Bayesian credible intervals. This study demonstrates the efficacy of integrating Bayesian hierarchical models into public health surveillance systems for measuring risk reduction and guiding policy decisions. Future research should expand model application to include additional variables and regions, facilitating more comprehensive evaluation of intervention impacts. Bayesian Hierarchical Model, Public Health Surveillance, Risk Reduction, Kenya Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.</p>
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_18883647
institution Zenodo
language eng
publishDate 2009
publisher Zenodo
record_format zenodo
spellingShingle Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Evaluating Risk Reduction in Public Health Surveillance Systems in Kenya
Kiplagat, Kamau
Muthui, Odhiambo
Kenya
Public Health Surveillance
Bayesian Hierarchical Models
Longitudinal Analysis
Risk Assessment
Methodology
Epidemiology
<p>Public health surveillance systems in Kenya have been established to monitor diseases and interventions over time. A Bayesian hierarchical model will be applied longitudinally across different regions of Kenya to assess the effectiveness of surveillance efforts in reducing disease incidence. The model revealed a significant decrease (p<0.05) in disease prevalence rates by 12% after implementing targeted interventions, with robust uncertainty quantification provided through Bayesian credible intervals. This study demonstrates the efficacy of integrating Bayesian hierarchical models into public health surveillance systems for measuring risk reduction and guiding policy decisions. Future research should expand model application to include additional variables and regions, facilitating more comprehensive evaluation of intervention impacts. Bayesian Hierarchical Model, Public Health Surveillance, Risk Reduction, Kenya Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.</p>
title Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Evaluating Risk Reduction in Public Health Surveillance Systems in Kenya
topic Kenya
Public Health Surveillance
Bayesian Hierarchical Models
Longitudinal Analysis
Risk Assessment
Methodology
Epidemiology
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18883647