Machine Learning Models in Climate Prediction and Adaptation Planning in Tanzania

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Auteurs principaux: Wiyot, Kamkwamba, Mvunye, Mwakali, Kibungi, Chacha, Nyalama, Nkatha
Format: Recurso digital
Langue:anglais
Publié: Zenodo 2009
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author Wiyot, Kamkwamba
Mvunye, Mwakali
Kibungi, Chacha
Nyalama, Nkatha
author_facet Wiyot, Kamkwamba
Mvunye, Mwakali
Kibungi, Chacha
Nyalama, Nkatha
contents <p>Machine Learning models have shown promise in climate prediction and adaptation planning across various regions. A comprehensive search strategy was employed using academic databases such as PubMed, Web of Science, and Google Scholar. Studies were included if they utilised Machine Learning methods to predict climate variables or develop adaptation strategies for Tanzanian contexts. The analysis identified a trend towards the use of Random Forest models in predicting rainfall patterns with an average accuracy rate of 72%, indicating their effectiveness in climate prediction within Tanzania's diverse geographical regions. Machine Learning models, particularly Random Forest, offer promising tools for enhancing climate prediction and supporting adaptive planning in Tanzanian ecosystems. However, further research is needed to validate these findings across different time periods and climate scenarios. Future studies should focus on expanding the model's application to cover a broader range of climate variables, including temperature and humidity, and integrating them with socioeconomic data for comprehensive adaptation strategies. Model estimation used $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}\sum_i\ell(y_i,f_\theta(x_i))+\lambda\lVert\theta\rVert_2^2$, with performance evaluated using out-of-sample error.</p>
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_18896175
institution Zenodo
language eng
publishDate 2009
publisher Zenodo
record_format zenodo
spellingShingle Machine Learning Models in Climate Prediction and Adaptation Planning in Tanzania
Wiyot, Kamkwamba
Mvunye, Mwakali
Kibungi, Chacha
Nyalama, Nkatha
Tanzania
Geographic Information Systems
Machine Learning
Climate Change Adaptation
Predictive Analytics
Data Mining
Spatial Analysis
<p>Machine Learning models have shown promise in climate prediction and adaptation planning across various regions. A comprehensive search strategy was employed using academic databases such as PubMed, Web of Science, and Google Scholar. Studies were included if they utilised Machine Learning methods to predict climate variables or develop adaptation strategies for Tanzanian contexts. The analysis identified a trend towards the use of Random Forest models in predicting rainfall patterns with an average accuracy rate of 72%, indicating their effectiveness in climate prediction within Tanzania's diverse geographical regions. Machine Learning models, particularly Random Forest, offer promising tools for enhancing climate prediction and supporting adaptive planning in Tanzanian ecosystems. However, further research is needed to validate these findings across different time periods and climate scenarios. Future studies should focus on expanding the model's application to cover a broader range of climate variables, including temperature and humidity, and integrating them with socioeconomic data for comprehensive adaptation strategies. Model estimation used $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}\sum_i\ell(y_i,f_\theta(x_i))+\lambda\lVert\theta\rVert_2^2$, with performance evaluated using out-of-sample error.</p>
title Machine Learning Models in Climate Prediction and Adaptation Planning in Tanzania
topic Tanzania
Geographic Information Systems
Machine Learning
Climate Change Adaptation
Predictive Analytics
Data Mining
Spatial Analysis
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18896175