Methodological Evaluation of District Hospitals Systems in Ethiopia Using Time-Series Forecasting Models

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Autori principali: Assefa, Woldegebriel, Teklehaimanot, Mulugeta, Abay, Yared
Natura: Recurso digital
Lingua:inglese
Pubblicazione: Zenodo 2010
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author Assefa, Woldegebriel
Teklehaimanot, Mulugeta
Abay, Yared
author_facet Assefa, Woldegebriel
Teklehaimanot, Mulugeta
Abay, Yared
contents <p>District hospitals in Ethiopia face challenges in managing patient flow and resource allocation effectively. A comprehensive search strategy was employed across multiple databases to identify relevant literature. Studies selected used time-series forecasting techniques such as ARIMA for yield analysis. The application of ARIMA models revealed an average annual yield improvement rate of 5% in district hospitals over a five-year period, with significant variability among regions. Time-series forecasting models provide valuable insights into the performance and potential improvements in Ethiopian district hospital systems. Further research should investigate regional-specific factors influencing yield and explore integration of predictive analytics for resource management. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.</p>
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_18904935
institution Zenodo
language eng
publishDate 2010
publisher Zenodo
record_format zenodo
spellingShingle Methodological Evaluation of District Hospitals Systems in Ethiopia Using Time-Series Forecasting Models
Assefa, Woldegebriel
Teklehaimanot, Mulugeta
Abay, Yared
Sub-Saharan
healthcare management
forecasting
econometrics
resource allocation
performance measurement
geographic information systems
<p>District hospitals in Ethiopia face challenges in managing patient flow and resource allocation effectively. A comprehensive search strategy was employed across multiple databases to identify relevant literature. Studies selected used time-series forecasting techniques such as ARIMA for yield analysis. The application of ARIMA models revealed an average annual yield improvement rate of 5% in district hospitals over a five-year period, with significant variability among regions. Time-series forecasting models provide valuable insights into the performance and potential improvements in Ethiopian district hospital systems. Further research should investigate regional-specific factors influencing yield and explore integration of predictive analytics for resource management. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.</p>
title Methodological Evaluation of District Hospitals Systems in Ethiopia Using Time-Series Forecasting Models
topic Sub-Saharan
healthcare management
forecasting
econometrics
resource allocation
performance measurement
geographic information systems
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18904935