Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Measuring System Reliability in Municipal Infrastructure Assets Systems of Tanzania

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Main Author: Mponda, Muhittin
Format: Recurso digital
Language:English
Published: Zenodo 2010
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author Mponda, Muhittin
author_facet Mponda, Muhittin
contents <p>The reliability of municipal infrastructure assets in Tanzania is crucial for sustainable urban development. A Bayesian hierarchical model was applied to municipal infrastructure data, accounting for spatial variability and heterogeneity across regions. The analysis revealed significant differences in system reliability between urban and rural areas, with an estimated mean reliability of 85% (95% credible interval: 70-92%). The developed model provides a robust framework for assessing municipal infrastructure systems' performance. Policy makers should prioritise maintenance in regions with lower system reliability to improve overall urban resilience. Bayesian Hierarchical Model, Municipal Infrastructure, System Reliability, Tanzania The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.</p>
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_18908293
institution Zenodo
language eng
publishDate 2010
publisher Zenodo
record_format zenodo
spellingShingle Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Measuring System Reliability in Municipal Infrastructure Assets Systems of Tanzania
Mponda, Muhittin
Tanzania
Bayesian Hierarchical Model
Reliability Assessment
Infrastructure Engineering
Monte Carlo Simulation
Markov Chain Monte Carlo
Geographic Information Systems
<p>The reliability of municipal infrastructure assets in Tanzania is crucial for sustainable urban development. A Bayesian hierarchical model was applied to municipal infrastructure data, accounting for spatial variability and heterogeneity across regions. The analysis revealed significant differences in system reliability between urban and rural areas, with an estimated mean reliability of 85% (95% credible interval: 70-92%). The developed model provides a robust framework for assessing municipal infrastructure systems' performance. Policy makers should prioritise maintenance in regions with lower system reliability to improve overall urban resilience. Bayesian Hierarchical Model, Municipal Infrastructure, System Reliability, Tanzania The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.</p>
title Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Measuring System Reliability in Municipal Infrastructure Assets Systems of Tanzania
topic Tanzania
Bayesian Hierarchical Model
Reliability Assessment
Infrastructure Engineering
Monte Carlo Simulation
Markov Chain Monte Carlo
Geographic Information Systems
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18908293